Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 12 March 2024, Tuesday


	Caxias		Bahia

	1	X	2
	5	3.3	1.67
	4.2	3.3	1.75
	4.33	3.5	1.8	Watch
	4.65	3.48	1.82
	4.65	3.48	1.74
	4.2	3.4	1.75
	4.46	3.54	1.79
	4.6	3.45	1.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.51 ↑ (3.83)	3.43 ↑ (3.3)	1.76 ↓ (1.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caxias
20.5%

Draw
26.9%

Bahia
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.7%

27.5%

48.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

26.5%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Bahia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bahia than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	0%	85.7%

Caxias - Bahia Predictions

Users Predictions: Bahia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Both teams in the last matches got series of victories.

Bahia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Bahia have a series of guest games.

In this match Bahia is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
08.03.24	Caxias - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
02.03.24	Novo Hamburgo - Caxias	0:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
28.02.24	Portuguesa Santista - Caxias	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Caxias - Avenida	2:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.4 WWWWT
- EC Bahia
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
09.03.24	Jequié - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
06.03.24	Ceará - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
03.03.24	Bahia - Jacuipense	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
28.02.24	CRB Maceio - Bahia	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Baiano
25.02.24	Juazeirense - Bahia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

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