Match Info

BRAZIL: Paraibano - Round 7

Date: 9 February 2025, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Campinense

	1	X	2
	2	3.25	3.4
	1.98	2.9	3.6
	1.96	2.95	4
	1.95	2.85	4.15
	1.98	3.09	3.88	Watch
	1.93	3.04	3.98
	1.96	2.95	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.97 ↑ (1.77)	3 ↓ (3.43)	3.86 ↓ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
46.2%

Draw
30.2%

Campinense
23.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

26.5%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

26.9%

21.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo PB's form might have worsened.

Campinense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo PB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Campinense than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Botafogo PB - Campinense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Wallace (G) 8. Bruno Leite 9. Danilo Mariotto 22. Erick 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 23. Igor Ribeiro 7. Rafinha 3. Renie (C) 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Joao Guilherme (G) 3. Airton Junior 20. Carlos Alberto 21. Dadinha 4. Geovani 8. Joao Igor 9. Jo Santos 6. Lucas Gabriel 11. Michel Potiguar 5. Pedro Santos 7. Wesley Pionteck
Substitutes
10. Falcao 11. Gustavo Ramos 16. Henrique Dourado 21. Henry P. 17. Kawan 28. Luis Miguel 6. Mateus Rodrigues 25. Mosquito 15. Natham 33. Raphael Carvalho 1. Saulo (G) 18. Vitor Leque	15. Anderson Junior 44. Bruno Menezes 17. Capixaba 23. Gatito Cordeiro (G) 14. Hitalo 19. Joao Cabral 12. Lucao (G) 18. Rafael Sayao

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
17', 1 - 0, Danilo Mariotto ⚽,
21', 1 - 1, Hitalo ⚽,
22', 2 - 1, Thallyson ⚽,
42', 3 - 1, Rafinha ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Airton Junior ↓, Hitalo ↑,
46', Valderrama ↓, Wesley Pionteck ↑,
62', 4 - 1, Gama ⚽,
65', Danilo Mariotto ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
70', Carlos Alberto ↓, Esquerdinha ↑,
70', Michel Potiguar ↓, Danilo Bala ↑,
74', Rafinha ↓, Gustavo Ramos ↑,
79', Hitalo 🟨,
83', Guilherme Santos ↓, Natham ↑,
83', Gama ↓, Luis Miguel ↑,
83', Bruno Leite ↓, Falcao ↑,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 5 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1.

Recent matches Botafogo PB is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Campinense is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo PB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Botafogo PB is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 8 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 21:15 (average 1.1:0.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 13:9 (average 1.2:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
02.02.25	Treze - Botafogo PB	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Botafogo PB - Serra Branca	1:1 ✺
25.01.25	Pombal - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
18.01.25	Auto Esporte - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Botafogo PB - Esporte de Patos	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LTLWW
- Campinense Clube
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
01.02.25	Campinense - Nacional de Patos	2:1 ✺
29.01.25	Sousa - Campinense	2:0 ✺
26.01.25	Campinense - Picuiense	6:0 ✺
22.01.25	Auto Esporte - Campinense	1:1 ✺
19.01.25	Campinense - Treze	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
31.01.24	Campinense - Botafogo PB	0:0
Club Friendly
29.04.23	Botafogo PB - Campinense	2:0
22.04.23	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
15.01.23	Botafogo PB - Campinense	2:2
Brazilian Serie C
25.05.22	Botafogo PB - Campinense	1:1
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
21.05.22	Campinense - Botafogo PB	1:0
14.05.22	Botafogo PB - Campinense	1:2

Upcoming Matches