The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo PB 51.1%
Draw 27.2%
Serra Branca 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.6%
27.7%
21.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.1%
26.4%
20.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
The chances for Serra Branca have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (-1%)
Botafogo PB - Serra Branca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 16. Bull 22. Dudu 7. Dudu Hatamoto 87. Felipe Azevedo 8. Igor Maduro 17. Lucas Sena 4. Marcio Silva 10. Nene (C) 3. Yan Souto
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 7. Bedeu 23. Bruno 6. Franca 8. Gustavo 2. Igor 14. Jadson 3. Julio 5. Junior Dinde 10. Marcelo Toscano 4. Victor Ferraz
Substitutes
29. Anderson Chaves 25. Caio Garcia 37. Ed Carlos 12. Erick 18. Giovanni 9. Henrique Dourado 14. Igor Morais 33. Julio Vaz 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 28. Lucas Couto 23. Max Walef (G) 20. Thallyson
12. Allan (G) 13. Arlan 19. Bilao 30. Caio Ramon (G) 9. Diego Ceara 16. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 18. Jefferson Victor 11. Luquinha 22. Maicon 20. Pedro Vitor B. d. S. 17. Sousa Tibiri 15. Venicio
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
25', Bruno Fuso 🟨,
33', Igor 🟨,
43', Marcio Silva 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Marcio Silva ↓, Igor Morais ↑,
49', Bedeu 🟨,
50', 1 - 0, Felipe Azevedo ⚽,
55', 1 - 1, Marcelo Toscano ⚽,
59', Junior Dinde ↓, Sousa Tibiri ↑,
64', Marcelo Toscano ↓, Diego Ceara ↑,
65', Igor ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
66', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Henrique Dourado ↑,
67', Dudu 🟨,
72', Franca ↓, Maicon ↑,
73', 🟨,
73', Julio ↓, Arlan ↑,
74', Lucas Sena ↓, Erick ↑,
74', Igor Maduro ↓, Thallyson ↑,
76', 2 - 1, Henrique Dourado ⚽,
81', Felipe Azevedo ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,
88', 3 - 1, Dudu ⚽,
90+4', Arlan 🟨,
90+4', 🟨,
90+8', Marcio Silva 🟥,
90+9', Jadson 🟥,
90+11', 🟨,
90+14', Sousa Tibiri 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 0-1. Second leg.
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Botafogo PB is the team to beat.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 0.9:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 0.8:0.5).