Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 9

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping


	Botafogo PB		Caxias

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.87	3.1	3.8
	1.9	3.05	3.85	Watch
	1.99	3.12	4.15
				Watch
	1.91	3	3.9
	1.85	3.16	4.13	Watch
	1.9	3.05	3.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (2.15)	3.08 ↓ (3.1)	3.95 ↑ (2.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
47.6%

Draw
29.4%

Caxias
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

28.5%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1%

28.5%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo PB - Caxias Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Michael (G) 16. Diego Ferreira 18. Evandro 19. Gabriel Honorio 5. Gama 30. Guilherme Santos 9. Henrique Dourado (C) 3. Renie 88. Silvinho 20. Thallyson 4. Wendel Lomar	1. Thiago Coelho (G) 33. Alan 25. Calyson 39. Eduardo Melo 11. Iago 4. Lucas Cunha 6. Marcelo 27. Pedro Cuiaba 2. Thiago Ennes 10. Tomas Bastos (C) 23. Vinicius Guedes
Substitutes
6. Borges F. 10. Camilo 99. Denilson 7. Diogo J. 8. Igor Maduro 29. Kaue Canela 28. Lucas Balardin 2. Lucas Lopes 25. Luis Miguel 34. Marcelo Augusto 15. Natham 12. Wallace (G)	3. Alisson 44. Douglas 16. Douglas Skilo 7. Gabriel Lima 43. Guilherme Mantuan 9. Gustavo Nescau 21. Kelvyn 5. Lorran 15. Ronei 32. Victor Golas (G) 28. Yann Rolim

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
15', Gama 🟨,
18', 1 - 0, Gabriel Honorio ⚽,
43', 1 - 1, Eduardo Melo ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Calyson ↓, Douglas Skilo ↑,
47', Gabriel Honorio 🟨,
50', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Tomas Bastos ⚽,
58', Diego Ferreira ↓, Lucas Lopes ↑,
58', Thallyson ↓, Diogo J. ↑,
63', Silvinho ↓, Denilson ↑,
65', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Lorran ↑,
71', Lorran 🟨,
71', Gama ↓, Natham ↑,
71', Gabriel Honorio ↓, Camilo ↑,
76', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Alisson ↑,
76', Tomas Bastos ↓, Guilherme Mantuan ↑,
78', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
81', Eduardo Melo ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Botafogo PB is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Botafogo PB is considered a favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Including home match between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
01.06.25	Figueirense - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Botafogo PB - Retrô Brasil	1:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.05.25	Flamengo - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie C
18.05.25	Maringá - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Botafogo PB - Floresta	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 LWLTL
- SER Caxias do Sul
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.25	Caxias - Londrina	4:2 ✺
24.05.25	Itabaiana - Caxias	2:1 ✺
18.05.25	São Bernardo - Caxias	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Caxias - Retrô Brasil	2:1 ✺
05.05.25	Figueirense - Caxias	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.04.24	Botafogo PB - Caxias	1:1

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