Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 14

Date: 12 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botafogo PB		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.75	3.20	4.33
	1.86	3.20	3.90	Watch
	1.78	3.30	5.24
	1.9	3.18	4.37	Watch
	1.69	3.25	5.15
	1.67	3.40	4.80	Watch
	1.73	3.15	4.40
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↓ (1.86)	3.24 ↑ (3.2)	4.6 ↑ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
51.8%

Draw
28.3%

Confiança
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

28.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.9%

26.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Botafogo PB - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene 6. Patric Calmon 4. Saimon 3. Yan Souto	1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Gabriel Zeca 4. Icaro (C) 7. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 14. Madison 9. Maikon Aquino 10. PK 13. Renilson 2. Valdir Junior

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 0, Saimon ⚽,
68', Bastos R. ↓, Kayon ↑,
68', Henrique Dourado ↓, Gabriel Tota ↑,
73', 🟨,
77', 2 - 0, Kayon ⚽,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: ) and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 2.

Botafogo PB has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Confiança is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Confiança may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Botafogo PB is a strong favorite.

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:18. (average 1.6:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:11. (average 1.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

Confiança - the odds 3.9 are the expected chance of winning is 23.17%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
05.07.26	Anápolis - Botafogo PB	0:2 ✺
30.06.26	Botafogo PB - Brusque	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.9 WWWTW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
04.07.26	Confiança - Barra Santa Catarina	1:2 ✺
28.06.26	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1 ✺
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Volta Redonda - Confiança	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
12.04.25	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:0
13.07.24	Botafogo PB - Confiança	3:3
19.08.23	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:3
23.04.22	Botafogo PB - Confiança	1:0
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
05.04.21	Botafogo PB - Confiança	0:0
01.02.20	Botafogo PB - Confiança	1:1
Brazilian Serie C
04.08.19	Botafogo PB - Confiança	2:0

Upcoming Matches