Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 10

Date: 15 June 2026, Monday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SportyNet+


	Ypiranga		Botafogo PB

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	3.30	2.85
	2.18	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.16	3.31	3.45
	2.3	3.14	3.16	Watch
	2.2	2.9	2.9
	2.19	3.14	3.4	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.2 ↑ (2.05)	3.14 ↑ (3.12)	3.14 ↓ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
41.7%

Draw
29.1%

Botafogo PB
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

28.9%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.3%

28.8%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Ypiranga - Botafogo PB Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Botafogo PB will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ypiranga: 50.6% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 23. Danielzinho 27. Dionisio 10. Estevao 21. Leo Gobo 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 3. Willian Gomes (C)	27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 7. Dudu Hatamoto 12. Erick 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 33. Eduardo Grechi 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 79. Leo Rafael 85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 4. Reinaldo 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem	30. Alves L. M. 29. Anderson Chaves 16. Bull 2. Diogo Mateus 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 4. Saimon 20. Thallyson
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Fernandes M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Renan Gorne (Penalty Awarded),
24', Jhonata Varela 🟨,
28', Ramon Vinicius 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Erick ↓, Diogo Mateus ↑,
56', Igor Maduro 🟨,
58', Nicolas 🟨,
64', Marcelinho ↓, Leo Rafael ↑,
64', Estevao ↓, Gustavo Simoes ↑,
67', Jhonata Varela ↓, Giovanni ↑,
67', Henrique Dourado ↓, Kayon ↑,
74', Renan Gorne ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
74', 1 - 1, Bastos R. ⚽,
79', 🟨,
81', Danielzinho (Penalty Awarded),
81', 🟨,
86', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Gustavo ↑,
88', Leo Rafael 🟨,
90+3', Bastos R. ↓, Anderson Chaves ↑,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 17).

Both teams are currently in poor form.

Ypiranga might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:7. (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ypiranga - Maringá	1:4 ✺
10.05.26	Brusque - Ypiranga	3:0 ✺
05.05.26	Ypiranga - Ituano	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLLW
- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Ituano - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
18.05.26	Botafogo PB - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Maranhão - Botafogo PB	3:1 ✺
03.05.26	Paysandu - Botafogo PB	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
18.08.25	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2
28.07.24	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	2:2
26.08.23	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1
16.07.22	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:2

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