Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Colosso da Lagoa (Erechim)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping


	Ypiranga		Confiança

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.98	2.90	3.70
	1.90	3.25	4.10	Watch
	2.05	3.13	3.88
	2.02	3.12	3.94	Watch
	1.99	3.05	3.80
	2.05	3.15	3.78	Watch
	1.98	2.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2 ↑ (1.96)	3.08 ↓ (3.15)	3.84 ↑ (3.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ypiranga
46.1%

Draw
29.9%

Confiança
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46%

28.6%

25.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

30.5%

23.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ypiranga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Confiança has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ypiranga than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Ypiranga - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ypiranga will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Confiança will win (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Gabriel Werner (G) 2. Cleiton 23. Danielzinho 27. Dionisio 10. Estevao 80. Marcelinho 6. Nicolas 43. Ramon Vinicius 9. Renan Gorne 22. Walce 3. Willian Gomes (C)	1. Rafael Pascoal (G) 8. Gabriel Zeca 11. Iago Silva 4. Icaro (C) 7. Joao Pedro 6. Kelvyn 3. Lucas Cunha 9. Maikon Aquino 2. Mateus Ludke 10. PK 13. Renanzinho
Substitutes
41. Adilson Junior 20. Dudu 7. Felipe Ferreira 28. Gustavo Simoes 33. Kauan Bruno 79. Leo Rafael 85. Lucas Maticoli (G) 16. Lucas Ramos 15. Mago 4. Reinaldo 5. Rian 11. Vini Charopem	21. Breiner C. 18. Fabricio 14. Joao Mandovani 16. Marcelo Nunes 12. Matheus Silva (G) 5. Paulo Henrique 99. Sassa 22. Valdir Junior 17. Weriton
Coaches
Gabardo Junior	Thiago Gomes

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, PK ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Iago Silva ↓, Valdir Junior ↑,
54', 1 - 1, Nicolas ⚽,
59', Icaro 🟨,
60', Danielzinho 🟨,
61', Joao Pedro ↓, Paulo Henrique ↑,
61', Sassa ↓, Breiner C. ↑,
64', Rafael Pascoal 🟨,
72', Estevao ↓, Leo Rafael ↑,
72', Danielzinho ↓, Mago ↑,
78', Marcelinho ↓, Gustavo Simoes ↑,
78', Renan Gorne ↓, Vini Charopem ↑,
84', Nicolas ↓, Dudu ↑,
90+2', PK ↓, Marcelo Nunes ↑,
90+8', 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 13 and 18).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 1.

Ypiranga is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Confiança's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ypiranga may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ypiranga is the team to beat.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ypiranga won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ypiranga won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Confiança - the odds 3.55 are the expected chance of winning is 25.39%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ypiranga FC
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Santa Cruz Recife - Ypiranga	0:1 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
31.05.26	Internacional de Limeira - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
24.05.26	Volta Redonda - Ypiranga	2:1 ✺
16.05.26	Ypiranga - Maringá	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTLLL
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie C
22.06.26	Confiança - Guarani	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Volta Redonda - Confiança	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Floresta - Confiança	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Confiança - Figueirense	0:0 ✺
18.05.26	Confiança - Maranhão	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
15.06.25	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:0
07.07.24	Confiança - Ypiranga	2:0
01.07.23	Confiança - Ypiranga	1:1
16.04.22	Confiança - Ypiranga	0:0
07.09.19	Ypiranga - Confiança	1:1
31.08.19	Confiança - Ypiranga	1:0

Ypiranga - Confiança: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide