Match Info

Serie C - First stage - Round 12

Date: 30 June 2026, Tuesday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Almeidao) (Joao Pessoa)


	Botafogo PB		Brusque

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.90	3.10	3.60
	2.02	3.15	3.75	Watch
	1.91	3.15	3.63
	2	3.44	3.59	Watch
	1.89	3.05	3.25
	1.98	3.16	3.58	Watch
	1.92	3.10	3.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.43)	3.16 ↑ (3)	3.57 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
46.3%

Draw
28.5%

Brusque
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.7%

29.7%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

29.5%

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.

Brusque has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brusque might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-9.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brusque than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brusque could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Botafogo PB - Brusque Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Brusque will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Luiz Daniel (G) 77. Bastos R. 2. Diogo Mateus 7. Dudu Hatamoto 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 14. Igor Morais 5. Jhonata Varela 10. Nene (C) 6. Patric Calmon 3. Yan Souto	1. Matheus Nogueira (G) 17. Adrianinho 5. Bernardo (C) 4. Cipriano 7. Gazao 10. Joao Pedro 8. Jonatan Lucca 19. Macario 2. Pedro Medeiros 6. Raimar 3. Ryan Santos
Substitutes
30. Alves L. M. 16. Bull 12. Erick 88. Gabriel Tota 18. Giovanni 31. Gustavo 33. Julio Vaz 15. Kayon 21. Leandro Mathias (G) 35. Octavio 4. Saimon 20. Thallyson	15. Alex Paulino 9. Alvaro 18. Clinton 16. Davi Gabriel 22. Jeferson 20. Joao Prado 21. Leonardo 13. Leonardo Ataide 12. Paulo Gianezini (G) 14. Rafael Milhorim 24. Rafa Fonseca
Coaches
Fernandes M.	Higo

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Joao Pedro 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
56', 1 - 0, Nene (Penalty Awarded),
58', Jhonata Varela 🟨,
61', Pedro Medeiros ↓, Jeferson ↑,
61', Jonatan Lucca ↓, Clinton ↑,
61', Raimar ↓, Davi Gabriel ↑,
68', Dudu Hatamoto ↓, Kayon ↑,
68', Jhonata Varela ↓, Thallyson ↑,
69', Henrique Dourado ↓, Giovanni ↑,
69', Macario ↓, Alvaro ↑,
76', Nene 🟨,
77', Joao Pedro ↓, Rafa Fonseca ↑,
79', Bastos R. ↓, Gustavo ↑,
87', Gazao 🟨,
88', Nene ↓, Gabriel Tota ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Giovanni ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Botafogo PB is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie C for now

Brusque: 10.48%

Last Results with these Odds

Botafogo PB - the odds 2.43 are the expected chance of winning is 36.74%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Serie C
20.06.26	Botafogo PB - Volta Redonda	2:0 ✺
15.06.26	Ypiranga - Botafogo PB	1:1 ✺
30.05.26	Botafogo PB - Maringá	2:1 ✺
25.05.26	Ituano - Botafogo PB	1:0 ✺
18.05.26	Botafogo PB - Internacional de Limeira	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLL
- Brusque FC
Brazilian Serie C
21.06.26	Brusque - Floresta	2:1 ✺
14.06.26	Brusque - Santa Cruz Recife	0:1 ✺
01.06.26	Barra Santa Catarina - Brusque	2:2 ✺
24.05.26	Brusque - Anápolis	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Ferroviária - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
28.07.25	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:3
08.07.23	Botafogo PB - Brusque	1:2

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