Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO NORDESTE - ROUND 5

Date: 7 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Jose Americo de Almeida Filho (Joao Pessoa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	ESPN


	Botafogo PB		Fortaleza

	1	X	2
	6.5	4.1	1.44
	6.5	4	1.44
	6.4	4.05	1.44
	7.37	4.05	1.4	Watch
	6.8	4.1	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.71 ↑ (5.21)	4.06 ↑ (4)	1.43 ↓ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo PB
13.6%

Draw
22.5%

Fortaleza
63.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.6%

22.9%

59.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.1%

22.3%

57.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo PB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Botafogo PB - Fortaleza Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Botafogo PB will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Fortaleza will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Dalton (G) 16. Bruno Cardoso 10. Bruno Leite 3. Douglas 7. Jean Silva 2. Lenon 36. Paulinho 23. Pedro Ivo 9. Pipico 5. Rodrigo (C) 4. Wendel Lomar	23. Santos (G) 77. Andrade Navarro K. M. 19. Britez E. 6. Bruno Pacheco 25. Cardona T. 13. Kuscevic B. 88. Lucas Sasha 28. Pedro Augusto 32. Pedro Rocha 7. Pochettino T. 22. Yago Pikachu (C)
Substitutes
27. Bruno Mota 12. de Oliveira W. G. (G) 26. Erick 18. Gabriel Rossetto 30. Juan Xavier 8. Julio Rusch 19. Kiko 28. Luiz Felipe 15. Menezes 24. Mosquito 6. Rafael Furlan 35. Rafael Lins	27. Geilson Souza 1. Joao Ricardo (G) 37. Kauan 9. Lucero J. 18. Luquinhas 39. Machuca I. 11. Marinho 21. Moises 16. Rossetto M. 91. Thiago Galhardo 2. Tinga 17. Ze Welison

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 6 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa do Nordeste (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 1.

Botafogo PB is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Fortaleza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo PB could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Fortaleza is certain favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Botafogo PB won 2 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 8-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo PB won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 6-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo PB
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
02.03.24	Serra Branca - Botafogo PB	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Pombal - Botafogo PB	2:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
22.02.24	Botafogo PB - Altos	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraibano
19.02.24	Botafogo PB - Nacional de Patos	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
16.02.24	ABC - Botafogo PB	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWLWT
- Fortaleza EC
Copa do Brasil
04.03.24	Fluminense Piaui - Fortaleza	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
21.02.24	Sport Recife - Fortaleza	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.02.24	Fortaleza - Ceará	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
14.02.24	Fortaleza - Ríver PI	3:1 ✺
11.02.24	CRB Maceio - Fortaleza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
15.02.22	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	1:1
29.05.19	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	0:1
23.05.19	Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	1:0
02.02.19	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
21.07.17	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	0:2
19.05.17	Fortaleza - Botafogo PB	1:0
18.09.16	Botafogo PB - Fortaleza	0:0

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