The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sport Recife 34.3%
Draw 29.1%
Fortaleza 36.6%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.8%
28.2%
30%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.7%
29.5%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sport Recife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sport Recife's form might have worsened.
Fortaleza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Fortaleza's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (+9.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sport Recife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fortaleza than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Fortaleza, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
60%
40%
0%
Sport Recife - Fortaleza Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Recife will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH 0 - Fortaleza (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Fortaleza (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
26. Thiago Couto (G) 27. Claudinho 28. Habraao 3. Marcelo Ajul 76. Rai 6. Biel Fonseca 29. Willian Oliveira (C) 30. Chrystian Barletta 20. Diego Hernandez 7. Patrick de Paula 9. Pedro Perotti
1. Joao Ricardo (C) 22. Mailton 23. Neris 6. Cardona T. 15. Bastos 20. Jailson 5. Pierre 13. Mauricio Junior 75. Rodriguinho 21. Cantillo J. 32. Luiz Fernando
Substitutes
80. Andrade K. 68. Augusto 21. Brenno (G) 25. Clayson 10. de Pena Carlos 77. Dudu 96. Edson Lucas 8. Juan Alano 31. Marlon Douglas 40. Matheus Baraka 19. Neto Pessoa 23. Ze Gabriel
91. Chico 12. Henrique Kaio 10. Lucas Crispim 3. Lucas Gazal 17. Nathan Fogaca 77. Paulo Baya 16. Pedro Henrique 29. Rodrigo 8. Ronald 25. Vinicius Silvestre (G) 11. Vitinho 31. Welliton
Coaches
Soso M.
Autuori P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
13', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
19', Mauricio Junior 🟨,
27', Soso M. 🟨,
44', Cardona T. 🟨,
45', Marcelo Ajul 🟨,
45+3', 0 - 1, Cardona T. ⚽, Mailton (A),
45+6', Biel Fonseca 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mauricio Junior ↓, Henrique Kaio ↑,
46', Biel Fonseca ↓, Ze Gabriel ↑,
54', Cantillo J. ↓, Pedro Henrique ↑,
58', Jailson 🟨,
59', Rai ↓, Edson Lucas ↑,
59', Diego Hernandez ↓, Marlon Douglas ↑,
59', Pedro Perotti ↓, Neto Pessoa ↑,
66', Cardona T. ↓, Lucas Gazal ↑,
69', 0 - 2, Rodriguinho ⚽,
79', Willian Oliveira ↓, de Pena Carlos ↑,
80', Jailson 🟨,
83', Neris ↓, Ronald ↑,
83', Luiz Fernando ↓, Welliton ↑,
83', Habraao ↓, Andrade K. ↑,
90+5', Rodriguinho ↓, Rodrigo ↑,
Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 8th and 4th in the Promotion - Serie B (Promotion - Playoffs - Final)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Recife won 1.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Fortaleza may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Recife has recorded 4 wins, 3 draws, and 13 losses, with a goal aggregate of 11:24 (averaging 0.6:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Recife against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with 7:11 goals (averaging 0.7:1.1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
4
Fortaleza
35
16
13
6
43:31
12
61
7
Sport Recife
35
14
12
9
47:38
9
54
Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now
Fortaleza: 7.9%
Last Results with these Odds
Fortaleza - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 30.03%, but this team recently wins 19% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Thiago Couto (G) 
Diego Hernandez 
Cardona T. 
Bastos 
Cantillo J. 
Andrade K. 
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