The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Serra Branca 28.2%
Draw 31.5%
Botafogo PB 40.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.9%
30.1%
35%
Our Initial ML Estimation
35.4%
30.5%
34.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Serra Branca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Serra Branca's form might have worsened.
Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botafogo PB's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serra Branca than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Serra Branca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-5.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botafogo PB, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Serra Branca - Botafogo PB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Bruno Fuso (G) 7. Bedeu 23. Bruno 6. Franca 8. Gustavo 2. Igor 14. Jadson 3. Julio 5. Junior Dinde 10. Marcelo Toscano 17. Sousa Tibiri
1. Michael (G) 16. Bull 12. Erick 30. Guilherme Santos 9. Henrique Dourado 8. Igor Maduro 5. Jhonata Varela 15. Kayon 4. Marcio Silva 10. Nene 3. Yan Souto
Substitutes
12. Allan (G) 13. Arlan 19. Bilao 9. Diego Ceara 26. Diogo Moura 16. do Nascimento Sousa J. K. 25. Ezequiel 18. Jefferson Victor 11. Luquinha 22. Maicon 20. Pedro Vitor B. d. S. 15. Venicio
31. Azevedo F. 27. Daniel L. 22. Dudu 37. Ed Carlos 18. Giovanni 19. Gustavo Santos 14. Igor Morais 33. Julio Vaz 23. Max Walef (G) 28. Rodolfo 17. Sena L. 20. Thallyson
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
19', Gustavo 🟨,
23', Jhonata Varela ↓, Dudu ↑,
41', Dudu 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kayon ↓, Azevedo F. ↑,
46', Henrique Dourado ↓, Rodolfo ↑,
46', Sousa Tibiri ↓, Jefferson Victor ↑,
66', Guilherme Santos ↓, Gustavo Santos ↑,
70', 1 - 0, Gustavo ⚽,
71', Michael 🟨,
74', Julio ↓, Maicon ↑,
74', Franca ↓, Arlan ↑,
77', Bedeu ↓, Venicio ↑,
83', Gustavo ↓, Pedro Vitor B. d. S. ↑,
84', Julio Vaz ↓, Igor Morais ↑,
88', 🟨,
Preview
First leg.
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Paraibano (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0.
Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
Botafogo PB may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.6:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Serra Branca won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:4. (average 0.7:1.3).