Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca - Taca Guanabara - Round 2

Date: 14 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Olimpico Nilton Santos (Rio de Janeiro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, SporTV, Vivo Play, Zapping
South-america	Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Play Latinoamerica
Venezuela	Inter
World	Fanatiz


	Botafogo RJ		Portuguesa RJ

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.1	3.1	3.25
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.1 ↑ (1.96)	3.1 ↓ (3.3)	3.25 ↓ (3.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ
43%

Draw
29.2%

Portuguesa RJ
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

27.8%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Portuguesa RJ has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Portuguesa RJ will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raul Steffens (G) 11. Carlos Alberto 5. Kaue 3. Kawan 9. Matheus Nascimento 2. Newton 8. Patrick de Paula (C) 6. Rafael Lobato 4. Serafim 10. Vitinho 7. Yarlen	1. Bruno (G) 7. Anderson Rosa 25. Helio Paraiba 5. Ian 3. Iran 11. Joaozinho 19. Lucas Mota 6. Marcus Vinicius 10. Romarinho (C) 4. Thomas Kayck 17. Wellington Cezar
Substitutes
21. Adamo V. 15. Bernardo Valim 12. Cristiano (G) 18. Huguinho 13. Kaua Branco 17. Kauan Lindes 20. Kaue Leonardo 19. Kayke 16. Lucyo 23. Rhuan Lucas 14. Ryan Couto	23. Alexandre Azizi (G) 16. Elicley 20. Hugo Iglesias 8. Joao Paulo 2. Joazi 15. Kaike 14. Lohan 18. Miguel Souza 9. Rafael Silva 13. Victor Pereira 12. Vinicius Machado (G) 21. Willian
Coaches
Carlos Leiria	Evaristo Piza

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Iran 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Kaue ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vitinho ↓, Kauan Lindes ↑,
46', Iran ↓, Willian ↑,
46', Anderson Rosa ↓, Joao Paulo ↑,
46', Helio Paraiba ↓, Lohan ↑,
52', Matheus Nascimento 🟨,
59', Carlos Alberto ↓, Kayke ↑,
60', Patrick de Paula 🟨,
65', Kaue ↓, Kaue Leonardo ↑,
66', Joaozinho ↓, Miguel Souza ↑,
74', Marcus Vinicius ↓, Kaike ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Kayke ⚽,
80', Yarlen 🟨,
81', Kayke 🟨,
86', Lucyo 🟨,
86', Rafael Lobato ↓, Lucyo ↑,
86', Matheus Nascimento ↓, Adamo V. ↑,
90+5', Kawan 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 1.

Recent matches Botafogo is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Botafogo won 4 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 20:14 (average 1.8:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 13:8 (average 1.9:1.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.25	Botafogo RJ - Maricá	1:2 ✺
FIFA Intercontinental Cup
11.12.24	Botafogo RJ - Pachuca	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
08.12.24	Botafogo RJ - São Paulo	2:1 ✺
04.12.24	Internacional RS - Botafogo RJ	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
30.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWW
- Portuguesa RJ
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
11.01.25	Bangu - Portuguesa RJ	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio
28.08.24	Portuguesa RJ - Maricá	1:2 ✺
21.08.24	Maricá - Portuguesa RJ	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
18.08.24	Maringá - Portuguesa RJ	3:1 ✺
10.08.24	Portuguesa RJ - Maringá	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
30.01.24	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	1:1
27.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	3:1
18.03.23	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	0:0
08.03.23	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	0:1
27.02.22	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	5:3
04.04.21	Botafogo RJ - Portuguesa RJ	1:1
01.07.20	Portuguesa RJ - Botafogo RJ	0:0

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