Match Info

Serie A Betano - Round 15

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: MRV Arena (Belo Horizonte)

Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	DAZN
Brazil	Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Colombia	Win play, Win Sports
Ecuador	Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Israel	Sport 2
Mexico	Azteca Deportes, Disney+
North-central-america	Flow Sports 1 Caribbean
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Uruguay	Flow
Usa	Fanatiz
World	Onefootball, TV Globo Internacional


	Atlético Mineiro		Botafogo RJ

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.4
	2.12	3.25	3.35	Watch
	2.19	3.5	3.55
	2.17	3.38	3.46	Watch
	2.1	3.2	3.3
	2.17	3.42	3.46	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↓ (2.15)	3.35 ↑ (3.15)	3.42 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Atlético Mineiro
44.1%

Draw
28.2%

Botafogo RJ
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.1%

28.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8%

29.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Atlético Mineiro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Mineiro than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	53.8%	0%

Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Atlético MG will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Everson (C) 2. Natanael 6. Alonso J. 3. Roman I. 16. Lodi R. 25. Perez T. 8. Maycon 27. Minda A. 11. Bernard 28. Cuello 9. Cassierra M.	22. Neto (G) 4. Ponte M. 5. Ferraresi N. 20. Barboza A. 13. Alex Telles (C) 28. Newton 6. Medina C. 88. Edenilson 8. Danilo 11. Matheus Martins 19. Arthur Cabral
Substitutes
5. Alexsander 29. Caua 39. Cisse M. 92. Dudu 1. Gabriel Delfim (G) 17. Igor Gomes 48. Mateus Iseppe 36. Pascini K. 23. Preciado A. 19. Reinier 4. Ruan Tressoldi 14. Vitor Hugo	14. Barrera J. 37. Barria K. 27. Caio Roque 30. Correa J. 75. Huguinho 34. Justino G. 42. Kadu Santos 21. Marcal 10. Montoro A. 1. Raul Steffens (G) 77. Villalba Jaume L. M. 3. Ythallo
Coaches
Dominguez E.	Carvalho F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Cassierra M. ⚽,
27', Alex Telles 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', Bernard ↓, Alexsander ↑,
64', Edenilson ↓, Barria K. ↑,
68', Minda A. ↓, Cisse M. ↑,
69', Roman I. ↓, Vitor Hugo ↑,
75', Alex Telles ↓, Marcal ↑,
75', Newton ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
80', Matheus Martins ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
88', Cuello ↓, Reinier ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Arthur Cabral ⚽,
90+3', Ponte M. 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 11 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 1.

Recent performances by Atlético MG have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botafogo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Atlético MG may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botafogo has had a series of home games.

Atlético MG could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Atlético MG: Cisse M. (Thigh Injury) Franco A. (Yellow Cards) Hulk (Inactive) Indio (Knee Injury) Lyanco (Red Card) Patrick Silva (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao (Knee Injury) Nathan Fernandes (Injury) Rodriguez S. (Injury) Vitinho (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Atlético MG: Cuello (Injury)

There are questionable in Botafogo: Allan (Injury) Junior Santos (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Atlético MG won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 18:20. (average 0.9:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Atlético MG won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:6. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie A for now

Atletico-MG: 0.31% Botafogo RJ: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Atletico-MG	29	12	8	9	39:34	5	44
13	Botafogo RJ	29	9	8	12	42:47	-5	35

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Mineiro - the odds 2.15 are the expected chance of winning is 42.66%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Botafogo RJ - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.22%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Atlético Mineiro
Copa Sudamericana
05.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Atlético Mineiro	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Cruzeiro - Atlético Mineiro	1:3 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
29.04.26	Cienciano - Atlético Mineiro	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
26.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Flamengo	0:4 ✺
Copa do Brasil
23.04.26	Atlético Mineiro - Ceará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 TWLLW
- Botafogo RJ
Copa Sudamericana
06.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Racing	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
02.05.26	Botafogo RJ - Remo	1:2 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
28.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Independiente Petroleros	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
25.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Internacional RS	2:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
21.04.26	Botafogo RJ - Chapecoense	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie A
20.09.25	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	1:0
20.04.25	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0
Copa Libertadores
30.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:3
Brazilian Serie A
20.11.24	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	0:0
07.07.24	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	3:0
16.09.23	Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ	1:0
07.05.23	Botafogo RJ - Atlético Mineiro	2:0

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