Match Info

Carioca U20 - Taca Guanabara - Round 9

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Botafogo RJ U20		Maricá U20

	1	X	2
	1.20	5.50	12.00
	1.18	5.15	11.5
	1.14	6.47	12.89
	1.22	5.3	11.5	Watch
	1.12	6.4	12
	1.2	5.74	13.6
	1.17	5.4	12
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.18 ↓ (1.33)	5.71 ↑ (4.35)	12.21 ↑ (9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo RJ U20
76.8%

Draw
15.8%

Maricá U20
7.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.8%

21%

10.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.2%

16.2%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo RJ U20's performance.

Maricá U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-23.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ U20 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Maricá U20 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Maricá U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Botafogo RJ U20 - Maricá U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, ⚽,
13', 1 - 1, ⚽,
45+6', 🟥,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 2 - 1, ⚽,
56', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90+3', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 5th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals) and 6th in the Promotion - Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Botafogo U20 holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 2:1 (averaging 1:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Botafogo U20	8	4	1	3	15:11	4	13
7	Marica U20	9	2	2	5	11:15	-4	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo RJ U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0 ✺
19.09.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	0:1 ✺
16.09.26	Fluminense U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	3:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil U20
09.09.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Estrela de Março U20	4:0 ✺
Brazilian Carioca U20
04.09.26	Botafogo RJ U20 - Sampaio Corrêa FE U20	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 LLLWW
- Maricá U20
Brazilian Carioca U20
26.09.26	Maricá U20 - Volta Redonda U20	1:0 ✺
19.09.26	Bangu U20 - Maricá U20	1:0 ✺
12.09.26	Maricá U20 - Madureira U20	2:3 ✺
05.09.26	Boavista SC U20 - Maricá U20	2:2 ✺
29.08.26	Maricá U20 - Nova Iguaçu U20	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca U20
11.10.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Maricá U20	0:1
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
05.04.25	Maricá U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2

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