The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Vasco da Gama U20 52.9%
Draw 25.9%
Botafogo RJ U20 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
53.4%
25.5%
21.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
56.5%
24.1%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vasco da Gama U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Botafogo RJ U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vasco da Gama U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Vasco da Gama U20 - Botafogo RJ U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
45+2', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
58', 2 - 0, ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 3rd in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals) and 5th in the Promotion ~ Carioca U20 (Taca Guanabara ~ PlayoffsQuarter~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vasco U20 won 1.
Vasco U20 has enjoyed a winning run and is in top form (last 5 matches: 5 wins).
Performances by Botafogo U20 have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Vasco U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Botafogo U20 has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Vasco U20 carries the favorite tag into this contest.
Our forecast points to a victory for Vasco U20 in today's match, at odds of 1.67.
In the last 15 head-to-head meetings, Vasco U20 has recorded 3 wins, 9 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 17:18 (averaging 1.1:1.2 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Vasco U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.7 per game).