Match Info

Date: 11 August 2020, Tuesday


	Botafogo SP		Confiança

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.2	3.1	Watch
	2.2	2.9	3.2
	2.35	2.9	2.95	Watch
	2.38	2.85	3.15
	2.41	3.04	3.3
	2.4	2.9	3.1
	2.41	3.02	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.35 ↑ (1.73)	2.97 ↓ (3.3)	3.14 ↓ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
39.4%

Draw
31.1%

Confiança
29.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.9%

27.2%

20.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.8%

21.8%

16.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

Confiança has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Confiança's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+25.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Confiança than the current prediction. (-12.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Confiança, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
19.6%	23.5%	56.9%

Botafogo SP - Confiança Predictions

Users Predictions: 51 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 10 - 19.6%). Confiança will win (votes: 29 - 56.9%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 23.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Confiança: 43.3% – 70.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Limited number of spectators.

Recent matches Botafogo SP is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Confiança is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Botafogo SP have a series of guest games.

Botafogo SP will have a poor advantage in this game.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B
08.08.20	Cruzeiro - Botafogo SP	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
01.08.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:1 penalties ✺
29.07.20	Grêmio Novorizontino - Botafogo SP	0:2 ✺
26.07.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
23.07.20	Botafogo SP - Guaraní Asuncion	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLWLW
- AD Confiança Aracaju
Brazilian Serie B
07.08.20	Confiança - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Sergipano
04.08.20	Frei Paulistano - Confiança	0:4 ✺
01.08.20	Confiança - Frei Paulistano	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa do Nordeste
29.07.20	Bahia - Confiança	1:0 ✺
25.07.20	Confiança - Santa Cruz Recife	1:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWLW

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