The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Botafogo SP 36.6%
Draw 29%
Sport Recife 34.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
38.9%
29.4%
31.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
38.8%
29.4%
31.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)
Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Botafogo SP - Sport Recife Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 12th and 7th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
Both teams enter this match with positive momentum from recent weeks.
Recife could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Botafogo SP has recorded 0 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:16 (averaging 0.9:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Botafogo SP against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with 2:4 goals (averaging 0.7:1.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Sport Recife
35
14
12
9
47:38
9
54
12
Botafogo SP
35
13
8
14
40:38
2
47
Last Results with these Odds
Botafogo SP - the odds 2.4 are the expected chance of winning is 38.94%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.
Sport Recife - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.68%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.