Match Info

BRAZIL: Serie B - Round 13

Date: 29 June 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)

Referee: da Cruz Y. E. F. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	BandSports, Claro TV+, Premiere, Sky+, TV Brasil, Vivo Play, Zapping
World	Amazon Prime Video


	Botafogo SP		Sport Recife

	1	X	2
	3.3	3	2.38	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.3
	3.2	2.95	2.4
	3.48	3.05	2.41
	3.38	2.85	2.39
	3.3	2.9	2.3
	3.36	2.96	2.33	Watch
	3.3	2.95	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.3 ↑ (3.09)	2.95 ↑ (2.9)	2.35 ↓ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
28.4%

Draw
31.8%

Sport Recife
39.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.3%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30%

32.6%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Sport Recife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sport Recife than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.2%	50%	18.7%

Botafogo SP - Sport Recife Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 5 - 31.3%). Recife will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Joao Carlos (G) 2. Wallison 3. Fabio Sanches 4. Bernardo Schappo 6. Jean Victor 5. Carlos Manuel 10. Fillipe Soutto (C) 8. Patrick Brey 11. Douglas Baggio 9. Alex Sandro 7. Negueba	22. Caique Franca (G) 8. Dominguez F. 12. Alisson Cassiano 40. Luciano Castan (C) 26. Nassom 47. Fabio Matheus 94. Felipe 19. Lucas Lima 59. Ortiz C. 30. Chrystian Barletta 9. Gustavo Coutinho
Substitutes
16. Arthur Mosca 14. Ericson 13. Joao Maranini 18. Jonas Toro 19. Leandro Pereira 12. Michael (G) 15. Thassio 24. Victor Souza (G) 17. Willian Gabriel	38. Dieguinho 55. Lucas Andre 43. Luciano 48. Pedro Martins 17. Pedro Vilhena 45. Riquelme 28. Rosales R. 21. Thiago Couto (G) 99. Ze Roberto
Coaches
Gomes P.	Soso M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Carlos Manuel ⚽,
30', Luciano Castan 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Nassom 🟨,
56', Fabio Matheus ↓, Ze Roberto ↑,
56', Nassom ↓, Riquelme ↑,
61', Alex Sandro ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
63', Douglas Baggio 🟨,
67', Negueba 🟨,
72', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Pedro Martins ↑,
72', Felipe ↓, Dieguinho ↑,
76', Negueba ↓, Leandro Pereira ↑,
81', Lucas Lima ↓, Pedro Vilhena ↑,
85', Riquelme 🟨,
90', Carlos Manuel ↓, Ericson ↑,
90', Patrick Brey ↓, Thassio ↑,
90+4', 1 - 1, Ze Roberto (Pen),

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 6).

Botafogo SP is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Recife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Botafogo SP could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recife will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Recife: Chico (Red Card)

Last 4 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Copa Paulista
24.06.24	Botafogo SP - Atlético Monte Azul	0:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
22.06.24	Operário Ferroviario - Botafogo SP	0:1 ✺
19.06.24	Botafogo SP - Ponte Preta	2:0 ✺
16.06.24	Botafogo SP - Vila Nova	1:0 ✺
03.06.24	Santos - Botafogo SP	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 30.6 LWWWW
- Sport Recife
Brazilian Serie B
24.06.24	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:2 ✺
20.06.24	Ceará - Sport Recife	0:0 ✺
16.06.24	Sport Recife - Mirassol	1:0 ✺
10.06.24	Sport Recife - Paysandu	1:0 ✺
31.05.24	Goiás - Sport Recife	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
03.09.23	Botafogo SP - Sport Recife	1:1
20.05.23	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:0
13.11.19	Botafogo SP - Sport Recife	0:2
17.08.19	Sport Recife - Botafogo SP	3:0

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