Match Info

Paulista - Round 3

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Municipal Cicero De Souza Marques (Bragança Paulista)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, TNT Sports, Vivo Play, Zapping


	Red Bull Bragantino		Botafogo SP

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.7	6.25	Watch
	1.5	3.95	6.1
	1.51	4.16	6.15	Watch
	1.5	3.7	5.75
	1.57	3.86	6.51	Watch
	1.5	4.2	6.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.55)	3.93 ↑ (3.67)	6.21 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Bull Bragantino
61.4%

Draw
23.6%

Botafogo SP
15%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59%

25%

16%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cleiton (G) 23. Sant'Anna A. 14. Pedro Henrique (C) 3. Eduardo Santos 51. Caue Nascimento 35. Matheus Fernandes 15. Sosa I. 27. Davi Gomes 7. Eric Ramires 17. Vinicinho 11. Fernando Santos	1. Victor Souza (G) 2. Jonathan 3. Ericson (C) 4. Vilar 6. Gabriel Inocencio 8. Everton Morelli 5. Maciel L. 11. Jefferson Nem 10. Rafael Gava 20. Marquinho 19. Guilherme Queiroz
Substitutes
4. Alix Vinicius 8. Eduardo Sasha 5. Fabinho 37. Fabricio (G) 6. Gabriel 16. Gustavo Marques 22. Gustavo Neves 34. Hurtado A. 29. Juninho Capixaba 38. Kevyn Monteiro 21. Lucas Barbosa 57. Marcelinho	14. Carlao 15. Guilherme Mariano 30. Henrique Teles 12. Jordan (G) 23. Kelvin 9. Leo Gamalho 17. Marcio Maranhao 16. Matheus Sales 21. Patrick Brey 29. Thalles 27. Yuri Felipe
Coaches
Vagner Mancini	Claudio Tencati

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
41', 1 - 0, Pedro Henrique ⚽, Sosa I. (A),
45+4', Matheus Fernandes 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', Everton Morelli 🟨,
60', Fernando Santos ↓, Eduardo Sasha ↑,
60', Davi Gomes ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Eduardo Sasha ⚽,
63', Everton Morelli ↓, Marcio Maranhao ↑,
66', 3 - 0, Matheus Fernandes ⚽,
70', Guilherme Queiroz ↓, Leo Gamalho ↑,
70', Maciel L. ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
70', Rafael Gava ↓, Kelvin ↑,
73', Eric Ramires ↓, Fabinho ↑,
78', Jefferson Nem ↓, Patrick Brey ↑,
82', Sant'Anna A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
82', Eduardo Santos ↓, Kevyn Monteiro ↑,
85', 4 - 0, Sosa I. ⚽, Vinicinho (A),
90', Caue Nascimento 🟨,
90+1', 5 - 0, Marcelinho ⚽,
90+3', 🟨,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 2.

In recent matches, RB Bragantino has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In this match, RB Bragantino is considered a favorite.

There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabinho (Knee Injury) Rodriguez G. (Knee Injury)

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:17. (average 1.1:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.26	Red Bull Bragantino - Corinthians	3:0 ✺
11.01.26	EC Noroeste - Red Bull Bragantino	0:1 ✺
Brazilian Serie A
07.12.25	Internacional RS - Red Bull Bragantino	3:1 ✺
03.12.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Vitória Salvador	4:0 ✺
26.11.25	Red Bull Bragantino - Fortaleza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLWL
- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
15.01.26	Botafogo SP - EC Noroeste	1:1 ✺
11.01.26	Velo Clube - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie B
23.11.25	Botafogo SP - Avaí	0:0 ✺
16.11.25	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	2:0 ✺
10.11.25	Botafogo SP - Amazonas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Paulista
11.02.25	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	1:0
27.01.24	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	1:1
12.03.23	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0
06.03.22	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0
09.05.21	Botafogo SP - Red Bull Bragantino	1:1
01.08.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:1 penalties
26.07.20	Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo SP	2:0

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