Match Info

Date: 18 September 2021, Saturday


	Botafogo SP		Figueirense

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.6	2.87
	2.55	2.8	2.8
	2.55	2.65	2.95
	2.65	2.79	3.04
	2.55	2.7	2.9
	2.51	2.98	2.88
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (1.95)	2.75 ↓ (2.97)	2.91 ↓ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP
35.5%

Draw
33.1%

Figueirense
31.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.5%

31.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.1%

21.8%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.

Figueirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Figueirense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Figueirense than the current prediction. (-1%)

Botafogo SP - Figueirense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Botafogo SP is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Figueirense is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.21	Criciúma - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
04.09.21	Botafogo SP - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:4 ✺
28.08.21	Osasco Sporting - Botafogo SP	0:0 ✺
22.08.21	Botafogo SP - Ypiranga	1:2 ✺
14.08.21	Mirassol - Botafogo SP	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TLTLL
- Figueirense
Brazilian Serie C
11.09.21	EC São José Porto Alegre - Figueirense	1:2 ✺
06.09.21	Figueirense - Ituano	1:2 ✺
29.08.21	Figueirense - Ypiranga	1:1 ✺
21.08.21	Mirassol - Figueirense	0:1 ✺
16.08.21	Figueirense - Paraná Clube Curitiba	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
17.07.21	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
26.11.20	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	0:0
22.08.20	Botafogo SP - Figueirense	0:1
08.10.19	Botafogo SP - Figueirense	0:0
11.06.19	Figueirense - Botafogo SP	2:1

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