Match Info

Copa Paulista - Round 8

Date: 6 August 2025, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Santa Cruz (Ribeirao Preto)


	Botafogo SP B		Comercial SP

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.5
	2.08	3.1	3.2
	2.06	3.12	3.33
	2.15	3.12	3.32	Watch
	2.14	3.2	3.14
	2.21	3.06	3.13
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.12 ↓ (2.17)	3.12 ↑ (3.1)	3.27 ↑ (3.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP B
43%

Draw
29.2%

Comercial SP
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.9%

29.4%

28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

29.1%

29%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP B has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Comercial SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP B than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Comercial SP than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Botafogo SP B - Comercial SP Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 2)
49', 0 - 1, Franklin ⚽,
56', 0 - 2, Marcelo ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,

Preview

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Comercial SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Botafogo SP B will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP B won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP B won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1. (average 2:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP B
Brazilian Copa Paulista
30.07.25	União São João - Botafogo SP B	2:2 ✺
23.07.25	Botafogo SP B - Internacional de Limeira	1:2 ✺
16.07.25	Francana - Botafogo SP B	0:0 ✺
09.07.25	Botafogo SP B - Itapirense	1:0 ✺
02.07.25	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TLTWL
- Comercial de Ribeirão Preto
Brazilian Copa Paulista
26.07.25	Comercial SP - Itapirense	4:2 ✺
19.07.25	Francana - Comercial SP	1:0 ✺
12.07.25	Comercial SP - União São João	0:1 ✺
08.07.25	Internacional de Limeira - Comercial SP	2:2 ✺
02.07.25	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP B	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Copa Paulista
02.07.25	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP B	1:0
12.08.24	Comercial SP - Botafogo SP B	0:0
09.07.24	Botafogo SP B - Comercial SP	4:1
21.09.21	Botafogo SP B - Comercial SP	0:0

Botafogo SP B - Comercial SP: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide