Match Info

Paulista U20 - Round 12

Date: 14 August 2026, Friday


	Botafogo SP U20		Grêmio Novorizontino U20

	1	X	2
	2.80	3.10	2.25
	2.88	3.20	2.17
	2.75	2.97	2.43
	3.11	3.26	2.15	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.4
	2.99	3.51	2.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↓ (2.95)	3.16 ↓ (3.2)	2.26 ↑ (2.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botafogo SP U20
31.5%

Draw
28.6%

Grêmio Novorizontino U20
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

27.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botafogo SP U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Grêmio Novorizontino U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP U20 than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Novorizontino U20 than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, ⚽,
8', 1 - 1, ⚽,
16', 2 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 12 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

Botafogo SP U20 has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Novorizontino U20 is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Botafogo SP U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Novorizontino U20 might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP U20 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.8:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botafogo SP U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
10.08.26	Osasco Sporting U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:1 ✺
07.08.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Santo Andre U20	4:1 ✺
31.07.26	São Paulo U20 - Botafogo SP U20	2:0 ✺
26.07.26	Botafogo SP U20 - Desportivo Brasil U20	1:1 ✺
17.07.26	Ibrachina U20 - Botafogo SP U20	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLTL
- Grêmio Novorizontino U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
11.08.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - São Paulo U20	2:1 ✺
06.08.26	São Caetano U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:3 ✺
31.07.26	EC São Bernardo U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:1 ✺
25.07.26	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Santo Andre U20	2:2 ✺
17.07.26	CA Bandeirante U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 WWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Paulista U20
12.09.25	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Botafogo SP U20	1:3
07.09.25	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	2:0
14.09.24	Grêmio Novorizontino U20 - Botafogo SP U20	3:1
20.08.24	Botafogo SP U20 - Grêmio Novorizontino U20	1:2

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