Match Info

efbet League - Round 11

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Popov N. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Bulgaria	20:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Botev Plovdiv		Slavia Sofia

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.10	5.50	Watch
	1.55	3.90	5.00
	1.55	4.00	5.80
	1.60	4.10	5.56
	1.53	4.11	5.9	Watch
	1.58	3.90	5.50
	1.56	4.07	5.46	Watch
	1.56	3.90	5.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.73)	4.01 ↑ (3.46)	5.47 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
59.8%

Draw
23.2%

Slavia Sofia
17%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

53.3%

26.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

26.1%

19.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botev Plovdiv's performance.

Slavia Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botev Plovdiv that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Slavia Sofia than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Botev Plovdiv will win (16 of 16 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 27. Hein B. 4. Soldo N. 87. Petrov S. 82. Mendes V. 10. Chandarov A. 77. Lucas Araujo 90. Kalu S. 16. Vidolov V. 19. Rodrigues M. 7. Salido Tajero A.	99. Andonov I. (G) 87. Diego 4. Savic N. 24. Marin L. 26. Burov D. 95. Miletic V. 71. Stoyanov K. 77. Stoev E. 73. Minchev I. 17. Kazaldzhiev V. 10. Nikolov V.
Substitutes
14. Algarra C. 20. Awany T. 88. Chimezie W. 15. Kostov B. 30. Mascote 66. Meotti C. 17. Milanov G. 22. Senger M. 11. Shopov S. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 44. Ukaki E.	23. Antonov I. 27. Balde U. 9. Bornosuzov Y. 3. Georgiev M. 19. Gogev E. 5. Malembana D. 63. Ntumba L. (G) 7. Raychev R. 20. Semedo J. 8. Shopov G. 6. Todorov B.
Coaches
Genchev S.	Dostanic R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
34', Miletic V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Vidolov V. ↓, Kostov B. ↑,
46', Hein B. ↓, Meotti C. ↑,
46', Nikolov V. ↓, Bornosuzov Y. ↑,
46', 1 - 0, Salido Tajero A. ⚽,
62', Stoev E. 🟨,
67', Soldo N. 🟨,
68', Salido Tajero A. ↓, Mascote ↑,
68', Chandarov A. ↓, Algarra C. ↑,
74', Kazaldzhiev V. ↓, Raychev R. ↑,
74', Stoev E. ↓, Balde U. ↑,
83', Rodrigues M. ↓, Milanov G. ↑,
84', Mendes V. 🟨,
88', Burov D. 🟨,
89', Burov D. ↓, Semedo J. ↑,
89', Stoyanov K. ↓, Gogev E. ↑,
90+2', Bornosuzov Y. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table squads battle for vital points to solidify their season (ranked 6th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 7th in the Promotion - efbet League (Conference League Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 2.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Slavia Sofia may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Slavia Sofia has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Botev Plovdiv carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Botev Plovdiv has recorded 7 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:18 (averaging 0.9:0.9 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Botev Plovdiv against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:5 goals (averaging 1:0.6 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Botev Plovdiv	12	6	1	5	17:18	-1	19
8	Slavia Sofia	12	2	6	4	9:9	0	12

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.09.26	Septemvri Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:3 ✺
13.09.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:0 ✺
04.09.26	Arda Kardzhali - Botev Plovdiv	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	1:3 ✺
24.08.26	Botev Vratsa - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWLL
- Slavia Sofia
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Slavia Sofia - Botev Vratsa	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
18.09.26	Slavia Sofia - CSKA 1948 Sofia	1:2 ✺
13.09.26	Slavia Sofia - Spartak Varna	0:0 ✺
07.09.26	Dunav Ruse - Slavia Sofia	0:1 ✺
02.09.26	Slavia Sofia - Levski Sofia	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
20.03.26	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	0:1
18.10.25	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	1:1
03.03.25	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
19.10.24	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	1:0
20.05.24	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:1
27.04.24	Botev Plovdiv - Slavia Sofia	0:1
02.03.24	Slavia Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	2:2

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