Match Info

efbet League - Round 4

Date: 10 August 2026, Monday

Location: Stadion Hristo Botev (Plovdiv)

Referee: Pavlov M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 1
Slovenia	SportKlub 3
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Botev Plovdiv		Spartak Varna

	1	X	2
	1.51	3.90	6.00	Watch
	1.57	3.80	5.00
	1.56	3.90	5.60
	1.54	4.05	4.90
	1.56	3.89	6.04	Watch
	1.50	3.60	4.85
	1.55	3.89	5.99	Watch
	1.55	3.85	5.20
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.61)	3.86 ↑ (3.73)	5.45 ↓ (5.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Botev Plovdiv
59.4%

Draw
23.7%

Spartak Varna
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58%

25%

17%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

24%

16.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

Spartak Varna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spartak Varna than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	4.5%	0%

Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna Predictions

Users Predictions: Botev Plovdiv will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
29. Naumov D. (G) 82. Mendes V. 87. Petrov S. 20. Awany T. 27. Hein B. 77. Lucas Araujo 10. Chandarov A. 66. Meotti C. 7. Iliev N. 90. Kalu S. 30. Mascote	23. Iliev P. (G) 76. Valverde D. 72. Oliveira V. 45. Tshitoku J. 4. Ivanov B. 17. Marinov T. 19. Major S. 11. Hanne B. 82. Silva T. 10. Jota Lopes 9. Chunchukov T.
Substitutes
9. Chidera O. M. 88. Chimezie W. 15. Kostov B. 17. Milanov G. 21. Prandzhev N. (G) 19. Rodrigues M. 22. Senger M. 45. Silva E. 4. Soldo N. 23. Tonev D. 16. Vidolov V.	70. Ahmedov A. 7. Bua 80. Gomes A. 44. Granchov A. 77. Ivanov A. 5. Krastev D. 14. Pavlov D. 6. Sousa R. 1. Victor P. (G)
Coaches
Genchev S.	Petrov Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Mascote ⚽,
28', 2 - 0, Chandarov A. ⚽,
39', 3 - 0, Kalu S. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Major S. ↓, Sousa R. ↑,
46', Hein B. ↓, Kostov B. ↑,
46', Iliev N. ↓, Rodrigues M. ↑,
58', 3 - 1, Petrov S. (Own goal),
62', Mascote ↓, Chidera O. M. ↑,
62', Meotti C. ↓, Vidolov V. ↑,
67', Chunchukov T. ↓, Ahmedov A. ↑,
67', Silva T. ↓, Bua ↑,
67', Hanne B. ↓, Ivanov A. ↑,
68', Jota Lopes 🟨,
84', Jota Lopes ↓, Gomes A. ↑,
86', Kalu S. 🟨,
90+1', Kalu S. ↓, Chimezie W. ↑,
90+3', 3 - 2, Ivanov B. ⚽, Ahmedov A. (A),

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 4.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Spartak Varna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Botev Plovdiv has had a series of home games.

In this match, Botev Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Botev Plovdiv won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 13:5. (average 1.9:0.7).

Outrights of Bulgarian Parva Liga for now

Botev Plovdiv: 0.43% Spartak Varna: 0.16%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Botev Plovdiv	10	5	1	4	16:14	2	16
8	Spartak Varna	10	2	4	4	10:15	-5	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.08.26	Botev Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:0 ✺
27.07.26	CSKA Sofia - Botev Plovdiv	3:2 ✺
21.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
27.06.26	Botev Plovdiv - Ballkani	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLTWW
- Spartak Varna
Bulgarian Parva Liga
03.08.26	Spartak Varna - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:0 ✺
26.07.26	Cherno More Varna - Spartak Varna	0:3 ✺
17.07.26	Spartak Varna - CSKA 1948 Sofia	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
11.07.26	Spartak Varna - Dobrudzha Dobrich	7:3 ✺
04.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 WWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.07.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
04.04.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	5:0
Club Friendly
28.01.26	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	1:0
Bulgarian Cup
13.12.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	0:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.10.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
18.05.25	Spartak Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1
04.05.25	Botev Plovdiv - Spartak Varna	3:2

Upcoming Matches