What is the expert prediction for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Ludogorets Razgrad vs Botev Plovdiv Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Sunday, August 31, 2025)

Match Info

efbet League - Round 7

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Huvepharma Arena (Razgrad)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Slovenia	SportKlub 5


	Ludogorets Razgrad		Botev Plovdiv

	1	X	2
	1.23	4.5	8.5	Watch
	1.31	5	8
	1.31	4.85	8.4
	1.34	4.83	9.33
	1.40	4.32	8.02	Watch
	1.34	5	8.55	Watch
	1.42	4.2	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.42)	4.67 ↑ (4.2)	8.4 ↑ (8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ludogorets Razgrad
69.2%

Draw
19.8%

Botev Plovdiv
11%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66%

22.3%

11.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.6%

18.8%

13.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ludogorets Razgrad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Botev Plovdiv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ludogorets Razgrad than the current prediction. (-13.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ludogorets Razgrad that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Plovdiv than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Ludogorets will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Botev Plovdiv will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1.5 - Botev Plovdiv (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ludogorets Razgrad will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Ludogorets (votes: 3 - 75%). Botev Plovdiv (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
39. Bonmann H. (G) 17. Son 15. Kurtulus E. 4. Almeida D. 82. Yordanov I. 30. Pedro Naressi 26. Kaloc F. 37. Tekpetey B. 18. Chochev I. 11. Caio Vidal 10. Machado M.	29. Naumov D. (G) 17. Minkov N. 87. Petrov S. 4. Soldo N. 38. Balogiannis K. 22. Kwateng E. 3. John E. 11. Tailson 8. Nedelev T. 6. Yordanov A. 9. Mitkov D.
Substitutes
29. Bile E. 23. Duarte D. 77. Erick Marcus 67. Hristov D. (G) 99. Ivanov S. 55. Nachmias I. 3. Nedyalkov A. 14. Stanic P. 24. Verdon O.	25. Abraham O. 7. Iliev N. 28. Jocu H. 2. Noga G. 23. Okoflex A. 20. Petkov S. 10. Popov I. 1. Slavkov H. (G) 42. Videv I.
Coaches
Mota R.	Kirov N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
1', John E. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Kurtulus E. ⚽, Chochev I. (A),
32', Yordanov A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Minkov N. ⚽, Nedelev T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 1, Chochev I. ⚽, Caio Vidal (A),
58', Pedro Naressi ↓, Duarte D. ↑,
58', John E. ↓, Jocu H. ↑,
58', Kwateng E. ↓, Abraham O. ↑,
63', Tekpetey B. ↓, Erick Marcus ↑,
63', Machado M. ↓, Bile E. ↑,
67', Jocu H. 🟨,
74', Tailson ↓, Iliev N. ↑,
74', Mitkov D. ↓, Petkov S. ↑,
78', Iliev N. 🟨,
80', Yordanov I. ↓, Nedyalkov A. ↑,
80', Kurtulus E. ↓, Nachmias I. ↑,
81', Yordanov A. ↓, Popov I. ↑,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: ) and 16 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 4.

Ludogorets has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Botev Plovdiv's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Ludogorets may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Ludogorets is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Ludogorets won 17 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 44:16. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Ludogorets won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:10. (average 2.1:0.9).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ludogorets Razgrad
UEFA Europa League
28.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Shkendija Tetovo	4:1 ET ✺
21.08.25	Shkendija Tetovo - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:1 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
17.08.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League
12.08.25	Ferencvárosi - Ludogorets Razgrad	3:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
09.08.25	Slavia Sofia - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLTLW
- Botev Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
16.08.25	Beroe Stara Zagora - Botev Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
10.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	0:1 ✺
04.08.25	Botev Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali	0:5 ✺
27.07.25	Cherno More Varna - Botev Plovdiv	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Botev Plovdiv - CSKA Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Cup
27.02.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	1:0 penalties
Bulgarian Super Cup
04.02.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	3:2
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.12.24	Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	2:4
08.12.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	3:0
Bulgarian Cup
15.05.24	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:3
Bulgarian Parva Liga
10.03.24	Botev Plovdiv - Ludogorets Razgrad	0:2
16.09.23	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Plovdiv	2:2

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