Match Info

Parva liga - Relegation Group - Round 34

Date: 11 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Hristo Botev Stadium (Vraca)

Referee: Draganov D. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra


	Botev Vratsa		Krumovgrad

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.6	4.5
	1.71	3.3	4.75
	1.81	3.35	4.4	Watch
	1.76	3.4	5.22
	1.8	3.33	4.81	Watch
	1.81	3.4	4.7	Watch
	1.81	3.35	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.86)	3.39 ↑ (3.23)	4.68 ↑ (4.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Botev Vratsa
52.5%

Draw
27.5%

Krumovgrad
19.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.9%

28.8%

21.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.3%

28%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Krumovgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Krumovgrad than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	28.6%	14.3%

Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Krumovgrad will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botev Vratsa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Evtimov D. (G) 10. Georgiev S. 28. Bena Q. 27. Diabate S. 32. Dichev M. 6. Suarez D. 26. Boukassi M. 98. Ewerton Potiguar 24. Smolenski M. 9. Genov D. (C) 19. Perea B.	1. Georgiev Y. (C) 14. Cova A. 5. Guinari P. 24. Marin L. 7. Tsvetanov M. 13. Isuf A. 6. Alonso I. 99. Sellouf A. 10. Itu C. 70. Veiga T. 27. Keita I.
Substitutes
11. Achkov M. 16. Allagbe S. (G) 29. Bachev M. S. 14. Bachev P. 15. Marinov M. 7. Papazov M. 22. Stoyanov A. 21. Traore B. 3. Tsenov P.	8. Gonzalez J. 91. Ivanov H. 21. Makendzhiev B. (G) 19. Milev N. 4. N'Guessan S. 44. Obissa S. 25. Rabotov S. 98. Tartov G. 9. Vasilev I.
Coaches
Yanev H.	Kirilov R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Smolenski M. ⚽, Dichev M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ewerton Potiguar ↓, Papazov M. ↑,
50', Alonso I. 🟨,
59', Alonso I. ↓, Milev N. ↑,
59', Sellouf A. ↓, Tartov G. ↑,
60', Keita I. ↓, Gonzalez J. ↑,
66', Genov D. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
69', Gonzalez J. 🟨,
82', Boukassi M. ↓, Achkov M. ↑,
90+3', Smolenski M. ↓, Tsenov P. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Botev Vratsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Botev Vratsa is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Botev Vratsa: Marinov M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Krumovgrad: Lucas Santana (Injury)

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Botev Vratsa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Botev Vratsa won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.05.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa	3:0 ✺
02.05.25	Botev Vratsa - Septemvri Sofia	3:2 ✺
28.04.25	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Botev Vratsa	0:1 ✺
Bulgarian Cup
23.04.25	Ludogorets Razgrad - Botev Vratsa	2:0 ✺
Bulgarian Parva Liga
19.04.25	Botev Vratsa - Arda Kardzhali	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 LWWLW
- FC Krumovgrad
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.05.25	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:4 ✺
01.05.25	Hebar Pazardzhik - Krumovgrad	1:3 ✺
25.04.25	Lokomotiv Sofia - Krumovgrad	3:0 ✺
18.04.25	Krumovgrad - CSKA Sofia	1:0 ✺
11.04.25	Spartak Varna - Krumovgrad	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 27 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
07.03.25	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0
23.09.24	Krumovgrad - Botev Vratsa	3:0
08.04.24	Botev Vratsa - Krumovgrad	0:0
06.10.23	Krumovgrad - Botev Vratsa	1:0

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