The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Sofia 46.7%
Draw 27.4%
Botev Vratsa 25.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
46.7%
27.6%
25.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.5%
23.3%
30.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Lokomotiv Sofia have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Sofia that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Lokomotiv Sofia - Botev Vratsa Predictions
Users Predictions:
Lokomotiv Sofia will win
(5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%). Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% โ 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
99. Velichkov M. (G) 14. Lyaskov A. 6. Eiro 3. Kostov K. 91. Bidounga R. 5. Dost E. 31. Stanoev K. 29. Aralica A. 16. Medfai M. 71. Penev N. 7. Delev S.
94. Orlinov M. (G) 25. Buchkov A. 4. Goranov I. 21. Dimitrov M. 36. Stoev M. 3. Sanyang S. 12. Yurukov I. 10. Gallegos J. 7. Tsonev R. 79. Petkov M. 97. Naydenov V.
Substitutes
22. Daskalov R. 18. Kati K. 44. Katsarov B. 20. Kostadinov D. 24. Lyubenov A. (G) 26. Miloshev K. 9. Minchev G. 23. Ogaga D. 17. Papazov M. 11. Taoui A. 8. Yordanov I.
11. Achkov M. 88. Boyanov L. 9. Genov D. 90. Gigov F. 6. Kichukov A. 17. Mechev S. 24. Smolenski M. 8. Stoyanov A. 98. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Penev L.
Simov T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
29', Stanoev K. 🟨,
42', 0 - 1, Gallegos J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dost E. ↓, Taoui A. ↑,
46', Penev N. ↓, Kostadinov D. ↑,
55', 1 - 1, Aralica A. ⚽, Delev S. (A),
60', Yurukov I. 🟨,
66', Kostov K. 🟨,
73', Naydenov V. 🟨,
74', Medfai M. ↓, Yordanov I. ↑,
74', Naydenov V. ↓, Hadji K. ↑,
75', Gallegos J. ↓, Smolenski M. ↑,
84', Sanyang S. ↓, Achkov M. ↑,
84', Petkov M. ↓, Gigov F. ↑,
86', Kostov K. ↓, Katsarov B. ↑,
86', Aralica A. ↓, Kati K. ↑,
88', Bidounga R. 🟨,
90+2', Yurukov I. ↓, Kichukov A. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 12th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 9th in the efbet League (Relegation Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Sofia won 2.
In recent outings, Lokomotiv Sofia has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Botev Vratsa has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Lokomotiv Sofia could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Botev Vratsa has had a run of games away from home.
In this matchup, Lokomotiv Sofia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Sofia has recorded 10 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 30:16 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Sofia against this opponent, the record stands at 8 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, with 17:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.5 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
10
Botev Vratsa
12
2
4
6
10:21
-11
10
12
Lok. Sofia
12
1
6
5
13:20
-7
9
Last Results with these Odds
Botev Vratsa - the odds 3.64 are the expected chance of winning is 25.68%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.
Bulgaria
Croatia
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Velichkov M. (G) 
Eiro 
Bidounga R. 
Aralica A. 
Medfai M. 
Sanyang S. 
Gallegos J. 
Kati K. 
Ogaga D. 
Taoui A. 
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