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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 54.8%
Draw 27.5%
Botev Vratsa 17.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.1%
27.3%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.2%
26.7%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Botev Vratsa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
73.7%
21.1%
5.3%
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Botev Vratsa Predictions
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Botev Vratsa will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%). Confidence interval (95%) for Lokomotiv Plovdiv: 53.9% โ 93.5%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
AH +0.5 - Botev Vratsa (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%) ๐ฅ Gold Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 12 Selected Experts predict this event. Lokomotiv Plovdiv (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Botev Vratsa (votes: 1 - 8.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Milosavljevic B. (G) 44. Nikolaev N. 23. Ruskov M. 13. Lucas Ryan 21. Espinoza E. 22. Ivanov I. 12. Ali E. 99. Lamy J. 39. Umarbaev P. (C) 94. Itu C. 9. Perea J.
25. Evtimov D. (G) 2. Vlajkovic N. 5. Chorbadzhiyski B. 36. Stoev M. 32. Dichev M. 12. Yurukov I. 9. Genov D. (C) 21. Tsonev R. 17. Gallegos J. 97. Naydenov V. 79. Petkov M.
Substitutes
16. Aleksandrov A. 11. Andreev P. 33. Atanasov M. 4. Chindris A. 29. Longville C. 5. Pavlov T. 10. Touma G. 19. Velev A. 40. Zovko P. (G)
44. Goranov I. 14. Ivey R. 77. Marinov R. 7. Penchev B. 16. Peshov K. 91. Polonskyi D. 20. Souda A. 8. Stoyanov A. 1. Vasilev L. (G)
Coaches
Kosic D.
Simov T.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (3 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Perea J. ⚽, Umarbaev P. (A),
17', 2 - 0, Perea J. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Lamy J. ⚽, Itu C. (A),
22', Perea J. 🟨,
24', Petkov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsonev R. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
46', Dichev M. ↓, Goranov I. ↑,
56', Naydenov V. ↓, Ivey R. ↑,
58', Umarbaev P. ↓, Touma G. ↑,
58', Nikolaev N. ↓, Pavlov T. ↑,
58', Perea J. ↓, Longville C. ↑,
59', Goranov I. 🟨,
71', Genov D. ↓, Souda A. ↑,
77', Vlajkovic N. 🟨,
80', Vlajkovic N. ↓, Penchev B. ↑,
81', Lamy J. ↓, Velev A. ↑,
81', Itu C. ↓, Aleksandrov A. ↑,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day โ two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: ) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Botev Vratsa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Lokomotiv Plovdiv is seen as the favorite.
In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 24:15. (average 1.3:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).