Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 18

Date: 16 April 2026, Thursday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bakaridjan		Diarra

	1	X	2
	2.82	2.62	2.68	Watch
	2.89	2.68	2.7
	2.84	2.69	2.75	Watch
	2.8	2.5	2.7
	2.81	2.62	2.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↓ (2.84)	2.62 ↓ (2.85)	2.7 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bakaridjan
32%

Draw
34.5%

Diarra
33.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

32.3%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.5%

32.4%

35.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bakaridjan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Diarra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bakaridjan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Diarra than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Bakaridjan - Diarra Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Bakaridjan will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Diarra will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
2nd Half (1 - 1)

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 11 and 4).

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Bakaridjan won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 0.7:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Bakaridjan won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Diarra	26	13	5	8	32:24	8	44
10	Bakaridjan	26	6	9	11	20:27	-7	27

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Bakaridjan
Malian Première Division
03.04.26	Binga - Bakaridjan	0:0 ✺
17.03.26	Bakaridjan - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
06.03.26	Bakaridjan - USFAS Bamako	3:2 ✺
28.02.26	Mali Coura - Bakaridjan	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Stade Malien - Bakaridjan	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.9 TLWWT
- FC Diarra
Malian Première Division
04.04.26	Diarra - USFAS Bamako	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Stade Malien - Diarra	2:0 ✺
18.03.26	Mali Coura - Diarra	0:1 ✺
07.03.26	Diarra - Bougouni	1:0 ✺
28.02.26	Onze Créateurs - Diarra	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Malian Première Division
20.12.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	1:0
08.03.25	Diarra - Bakaridjan	0:1
23.11.24	Bakaridjan - Diarra	1:1

Bakaridjan - Diarra: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide