Match Info

Premiere Division - Round 10

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bougouni		Derby Académie

	1	X	2
	2.35	2.88	2.98	Watch
	2.42	2.93	3.01	Watch
	2.46	3.01	3.03	Watch
	2.37	2.9	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.4 ↓ (2.41)	2.93 ↓ (2.96)	2.98 ↓ (2.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bougouni
38.1%

Draw
31.2%

Derby Académie
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.2%

31.1%

30.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

30.4%

30.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bougouni has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Derby Académie has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bougouni than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Derby Académie than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Bougouni - Derby Académie Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 11 and 10)

Bougouni is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Derby Académie's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Derby Academie	26	5	14	7	19:22	-3	29
14	US Bougouni	26	4	4	18	12:43	-31	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Bougouni
Malian Première Division
16.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Bougouni	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Bougouni - Stade Malien	0:0 ✺
02.01.26	Bougouba - Bougouni	0:1 ✺
27.12.25	Bougouni - Djoliba	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Afrique Football Elite - Bougouni	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LTWLL
- Derby Académie
Malian Première Division
16.01.26	Derby Académie - Real Bamako	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Onze Créateurs - Derby Académie	0:1 ✺
02.01.26	Derby Académie - Diarra	1:1 ✺
27.12.25	Stade Malien - Derby Académie	3:0 ✺
17.12.25	Djoliba - Derby Académie	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.1 LWTLT

Bougouni - Derby Académie: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide