Match Info

Date: 15 April 2022, Friday


	Boulogne		Sedan

	1	X	2
	1.9	3	3.9
	2.02	2.8	3.9
	1.96	3.05	4
	2.01	3.31	4.06
	2	2.88	3.8
	1.97	3.15	3.98	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.25)	3.03 ↑ (2.97)	3.94 ↑ (3.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
46.4%

Draw
30.3%

Sedan
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

30.8%

28.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.9%

30.6%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Boulogne's performance.

Sedan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sedan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Boulogne that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sedan than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sedan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Boulogne - Sedan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Boulogne is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Sedan is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Boulogne could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Boulogne will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Boulogne won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
09.04.22	Bourg-Péronnas - Boulogne	3:1 ✺
05.04.22	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	2:1 ✺
01.04.22	Boulogne - Sète 34	1:0 ✺
25.03.22	Châteauroux - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
18.03.22	Boulogne - Creteil	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.7 LWWWT
- Sedan
French Ligue 3
11.04.22	Sedan - Concarneau	2:2 ✺
04.04.22	Laval - Sedan	3:0 ✺
25.03.22	Stade Briochin - Sedan	2:0 ✺
18.03.22	Sedan - Bourg-Péronnas	0:2 ✺
11.03.22	Sète 34 - Sedan	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
19.11.21	Sedan - Boulogne	0:0
21.04.17	Sedan - Boulogne	2:2
25.11.16	Boulogne - Sedan	2:1
13.05.16	Boulogne - Sedan	0:0
18.12.15	Sedan - Boulogne	1:2
French Ligue 2
09.03.12	Boulogne - Sedan	N/A

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