Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 34

Date: 9 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Stade Francis Le Basser (Laval)

Referee: Souifi A. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect


	Laval		Boulogne

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.6	4.2	Watch
	1.63	3.7	5.5
	1.78	3.55	4.25	Watch
	1.84	3.68	4.65
	1.77	3.66	4.41	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.2
	1.75	3.61	4.51	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.62)	3.6 ↓ (3.9)	4.53 ↓ (5.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Laval
53.2%

Draw
26.1%

Boulogne
20.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.7%

24%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.9%

17.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Laval has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Laval than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Laval, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	12.5%	12.5%

Laval - Boulogne Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Laval will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Boulogne will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Laval: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Samassa M. (G) 4. Ouaneh P. 24. Bane S. 3. Bianda W. 22. Kouassi C. 14. Mandouki C. 8. Thomas T. 31. Houdayer M. 6. Sanna S. (C) 10. Sellouki M. 9. Camara M.	1. Lenogue X. (G) 15. Pinot A. 25. Gourville S. 5. Zohore N. (C) 12. Boyer J. 90. Martin J. 21. Platret A. 14. Bultel J. 22. Duflos S. 23. Fatar N. 9. Lecolier M.
Substitutes
20. Clavreul E. 1. Hautbois M. (G) 28. Maggiotti J. 15. Mbayo D. 25. Montet E. 23. Tavares Y. 7. Vargas T.	19. Binet N. 7. Boiteau L. 26. Capuano G. 10. El Farissi A. 4. Kapenga J. 99. Noukeu B. (G) 28. Paillard S.
Coaches
Frapolli O.	Dagneaux F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', Mandouki C. 🟨,
12', Pinot A. 🟨,
41', 1 - 0, Kouassi C. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
44', 2 - 0, Camara M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Pinot A. ↓, Kapenga J. ↑,
60', Duflos S. ↓, Binet N. ↑,
61', Lecolier M. ↓, Capuano G. ↑,
73', Houdayer M. ↓, Clavreul E. ↑,
74', Martin J. ↓, El Farissi A. ↑,
78', Fatar N. ↓, Boiteau L. ↑,
78', Camara M. ↓, Mbayo D. ↑,
79', Sellouki M. ↓, Maggiotti J. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Boiteau L. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Laval won 3.

In recent matches, Laval has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Boulogne is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Boulogne may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Laval is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Laval: Aradj Y. (Inactive) Commaret M. (Inactive) Dago T. (Inactive) Maddy E. (Inactive) Samb L. (Foot Injury) Tchokounte M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Boulogne: Capuano G. (Inactive) Moco Z. (Inactive) Siliadin L. (Inactive) Thiam D. (Red Card)

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Laval won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:11. (average 0.7:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Laval won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.6:0.8).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Boulogne: 0.42% Laval: 0.42%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Boulogne	7	0	5	2	3:5	-2	5
18	Laval	7	1	2	4	8:14	-6	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stade Laval
French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Troyes - Laval	4:0 ✺
24.04.26	Laval - Rodez	0:0 ✺
20.04.26	Dunkerque - Laval	0:2 ✺
10.04.26	Laval - Reims	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Red Star - Laval	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 LTWTT
- US Boulogne
French Ligue 2
02.05.26	Boulogne - Annecy	1:2 ✺
27.04.26	Boulogne - Dunkerque	2:6 ✺
18.04.26	Troyes - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
11.04.26	Boulogne - Le Mans	0:0 ✺
04.04.26	Reims - Boulogne	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLTT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Boulogne - Laval	1:2
French Ligue 3
25.04.22	Laval - Boulogne	1:0
03.12.21	Boulogne - Laval	1:2
20.04.21	Boulogne - Laval	1:0
20.11.20	Laval - Boulogne	0:0
10.01.20	Laval - Boulogne	0:3
09.08.19	Boulogne - Laval	1:1

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