Match Info

Date: 5 April 2022, Tuesday


	Boulogne		Bastia-Borgo

	1	X	2
	1.98	3	3.5
	1.98	3.1	3.5
	2	3.1	3.8
	2.04	3.4	3.84
	2	3	3.6
	2.04	3.28	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.13)	3.15 ↑ (3.08)	3.63 ↑ (3.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boulogne
45.7%

Draw
29.1%

Bastia-Borgo
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.1%

29.8%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

28.7%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Bastia-Borgo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia-Borgo than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
47.1%	39.7%	13.2%

Boulogne - Bastia Borgo Predictions

Users Predictions: 68 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 32 - 47.1%). Bastia-Borgo will win (votes: 9 - 13.2%). It will Tie (votes: 27 - 39.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boulogne: 35.2% – 59%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 0.

Recent matches Boulogne is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bastia-Borgo is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Boulogne will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Boulogne won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Boulogne won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Boulogne
French Ligue 3
01.04.22	Boulogne - Sète 34	1:0 ✺
25.03.22	Châteauroux - Boulogne	0:1 ✺
18.03.22	Boulogne - Creteil	0:0 ✺
11.03.22	Le Mans - Boulogne	1:0 ✺
05.03.22	Boulogne - Avranches	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WWTLL
- FC Bastia-Borgo
French Ligue 3
01.04.22	Bastia-Borgo - Stade Briochin	2:1 ✺
25.03.22	Bastia-Borgo - Villefranche	1:3 ✺
18.03.22	Annecy - Bastia-Borgo	3:1 ✺
11.03.22	Bastia-Borgo - Orleans	2:2 ✺
04.03.22	Red Star - Bastia-Borgo	5:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
10.09.21	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	0:3
09.03.21	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	1:1
28.10.20	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	2:1
14.02.20	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	1:0
06.09.19	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
French National 1 - Group C
23.03.19	Boulogne - Bastia-Borgo	2:1
20.10.18	Bastia-Borgo - Boulogne	3:2

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