Match Info

Date: 21 February 2020, Friday


	Bourg-Péronnas		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	3.25
	2.43	2.8	2.9
	2.25	2.93	3
	2.4	3.06	3.3
	2.38	2.9	3.1
	2.42	3.01	3.06
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.17)	2.95 ↓ (3.08)	3.1 ↓ (3.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourg-Péronnas
39.3%

Draw
31.1%

Pau
29.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

29.7%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.6%

20.9%

40%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bourg-Péronnas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourg-Péronnas than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bourg-Péronnas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+10.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pau could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	38.5%	15.4%

Bourg Péronnas - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Bourg-Péronnas will win (votes: 12 - 46.2%). Pau will win (votes: 4 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bourg-Péronnas: 27% – 65.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Bourg-Péronnas
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Dunkerque - Bourg-Péronnas	3:4 ✺
07.02.20	Gazélec Ajaccio - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
31.01.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Toulon	2:1 ✺
24.01.20	Red Star - Bourg-Péronnas	1:1 ✺
10.01.20	Bourg-Péronnas - Béziers	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWTT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 3
14.02.20	Pau - Toulon	3:0 ✺
07.02.20	Red Star - Pau	1:2 ✺
01.02.20	Pau - Béziers	7:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.01.20	Pau - Paris Saint-Germain	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 3
24.01.20	Quevilly - Pau	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWWLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 3
13.09.19	Pau - Bourg-Péronnas	2:1
29.03.19	Pau - Bourg-Péronnas	4:0
02.11.18	Bourg-Péronnas - Pau	1:0

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