Match Info

Ligue 2 - Round 22

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Stade Bauer (Paris - Saint-Ouen)

Referee: Lesage M. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 7, Free


	Red Star		Pau

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3.15	Watch
	2.29	3.45	3.3
	2.11	3.5	3.3	Watch
	2.2	3.2	3
	2.29	3.3	3.2	Watch
	2.12	3.33	3.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.31)	3.31 ↑ (3.17)	3.18 ↑ (3.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Red Star
42.6%

Draw
28.1%

Pau
29.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.1%

29.3%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41%

28.7%

29.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
70.6%	17.6%	11.8%

Red Star - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Red Star will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Pau will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Red Star: 46.1% – 91.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Pau (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.25 - Red Star (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Red Star will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Red Star (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Pau (votes: 1 - 11.1%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Poussin G. (G) 22. Sylla D. 20. Durivaux D. 27. Danger B. 3. Huard M. 11. Cisse K. 98. Hachem R. (C) 81. Haag G. 23. Ikanga J. 9. Ba P. M. 10. Khaoui S. E.	22. Raveyre N. (G) 2. Pouilly T. 97. Meddah D. 23. Briancon A. 25. Ruiz J. (C) 3. Kalulu J. 20. Anziani J. 21. Beusnard S. 84. Touzghar R. 10. Versini G. 18. Sadik O.
Substitutes
29. Benali H. 1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 91. Cabral K. 7. Durand D. 5. Escartin J. 4. Pierret B. 25. Trani G.	14. Bobichon A. 9. Dong K. 19. Kante 4. Karamoko S. 30. Salles E. (G) 17. Sissoko O. 87. Zuliani E.
Coaches
Poirier G.	Debes T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
22', Touzghar R. 🟨,
31', Huard M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
50', Haag G. 🟨,
52', 0 - 1, Anziani J. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Sadik O. ↓, Sissoko O. ↑,
67', Khaoui S. E. ↓, Trani G. ↑,
67', Sylla D. ↓, Durand D. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Sissoko O. ⚽, Versini G. (A),
72', Haag G. ↓, Pierret B. ↑,
72', Ikanga J. ↓, Cabral K. ↑,
76', Versini G. ↓, Dong K. ↑,
79', Ba P. M. ↓, Benali H. ↑,
82', Danger B. 🟨,
83', Meddah D. 🟨,
86', 0 - 3, Dong K. ⚽, Touzghar R. (A),
90+3', Touzghar R. ↓, Bobichon A. ↑,

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Red Star: Doucoure R. (Knee Injury) Lemonnier P. (Injury) Pierret B. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Pau: Gaspar J. (Inactive) Glossoa N. (Injury) Meddah D. (Inactive) Raveyre N. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Pau: Briancon A. (Injury) Versini G. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Red Star won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 1.1:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Red Star won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 1:2).

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Red Star: 4.92%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Red Star	7	4	2	1	9:7	2	14
10	Pau FC	7	2	2	3	6:6	0	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Rodez - Red Star	1:1 ✺
24.01.26	Red Star - Boulogne	2:2 ✺
17.01.26	Grenoble - Red Star	0:3 ✺
03.01.26	Troyes - Red Star	1:0 ✺
13.12.25	Red Star - Reims	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 TTWLT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
30.01.26	Laval - Pau	0:1 ✺
23.01.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:2 ✺
16.01.26	Dunkerque - Pau	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Pau - Rodez	3:3 ✺
12.12.25	Pau - Amiens	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 WTLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
12.09.25	Pau - Red Star	0:3
17.01.25	Red Star - Pau	1:3
22.11.24	Pau - Red Star	4:1
French Ligue 3
07.02.20	Red Star - Pau	1:2
30.08.19	Pau - Red Star	3:0
11.05.18	Pau - Red Star	1:1
04.08.17	Red Star - Pau	1:1

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