Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 17

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Stade Saint-Symphorien (Metz)

Referee: Landry R. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN 2, DAZN, Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Canada	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
Croatia	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 2
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, beIN Sports MENA French 1, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch, DAZN 2 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 2
Montenegro	Arena Sport 3
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Russia	Okko Sport
Spain	beIN Sports
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Usa	beIN Connect, beIN Sports
World	Fanatiz


	Metz		Pau

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.5	4.1	Watch
	1.78	3.5	4.4
	1.8	3.5	4.33
	1.8	3.54	4.52
	1.8	3.58	4.32	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.5
	1.85	3.64	4.24	Watch
	1.8	3.5	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.8 ↑ (1.79)	3.53 ↑ (3.51)	4.34 ↓ (4.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 2 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS

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Current Win Probability

Metz
52%

Draw
26.5%

Pau
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

26.6%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

26.1%

20.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.7%	6.9%	3.4%

Metz - Pau Predictions

Users Predictions: Metz will win (26 of 29 users predict this - 89.66%).
Confidence interval (95%): 78.58% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
61. Sy P. (G) 39. Kouao K. 15. Lo A. 38. Sane S. 3. Udol M. (C) 9. Sane I. 21. Stambouli B. 20. Deminguet J. 5. Cande F. 7. Hein G. 14. Sabaly C.	1. Kamara B. (G) 2. Koudou T. 22. Ahoussou A. 25. Ruiz J. 23. Obiang J. 6. Ngom O. 8. Mohamed I. 18. Diawara K. 17. Mille A. 9. Mboup P. 7. Arconte T.
Substitutes
19. Bokele Mputu M. 2. Colin M. 36. Jallow A. 33. Mangondo J. 57. Mirbach A. (G) 12. Toure A. 22. Van Den Kerkhof K.	27. Gasnier K. 12. Gaspar J. 33. Kalulu J. 19. Kante 4. Kouassi L.X. 30. Njoh Y. 77. Paradowski T. (G)
Coaches
Le Mignan S.	Usai N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Ruiz J. 🟨,
34', Ahoussou A. 🟨,
39', Lo A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Ngom O. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
68', Sane I. ↓, Bokele Mputu M. ↑,
68', Cande F. ↓, Mangondo J. ↑,
77', Diawara K. ↓, Njoh Y. ↑,
83', Kouao K. ↓, Van Den Kerkhof K. ↑,
83', Deminguet J. ↓, Jallow A. ↑,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 10).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Recently Metz have a series of guest games.

In this match Metz is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Metz won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Metz won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
Coupe De France
20.12.24	Troyes - Metz	3:0 ✺
French Ligue 2
14.12.24	Annecy - Metz	0:0 ✺
09.12.24	Metz - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Coupe De France
29.11.24	Raon LEtape - Metz	0:1 ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Clermont - Metz	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LTWWT
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
13.12.24	Pau - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
06.12.24	Rodez - Pau	1:0 ✺
Coupe De France
30.11.24	Saint-Philbert-de-Grand-Lieu - Pau	2:1 penalties ✺
French Ligue 2
22.11.24	Pau - Red Star	4:1 ✺
09.11.24	Pau - Paris FC	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WLLWT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1
01.10.22	Metz - Pau	1:0

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