Match Info

Date: 30 October 2026, Friday ⏱️ In 1d 12h 📅 Remind Me


	Metz		Pau

	1	X	2
	2	3.2	3.25	Watch
	2.05	3.60	3.25
	2.02	3.4	3.3	Watch
	2.08	3.87	3.28
	2.08	3.52	3.26	Watch
	1.99	3.75	3.2
	2.06	3.58	3.28	Watch
	1.99	3.4	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.03 ↑ (2)	3.54 ↓ (3.55)	3.27 ↓ (3.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Metz
45.5%

Draw
26.1%

Pau
28.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

26.3%

27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47%

26.4%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Metz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Pau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metz than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pau than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Metz - Pau Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A mid-table host welcomes one of the top contenders in an exciting contest (ranked 8th and 5th in the Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Playoffs - Semi - finals)).

Metz has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Pau is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Metz holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 4 head-to-head meetings, Metz has recorded 1 win, 2 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:3 (averaging 0.8:0.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Metz against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals (averaging 0.5:0 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Pau FC	10	5	2	3	13:10	3	17
8	Metz	10	3	5	2	16:14	2	14

Outrights of French Ligue 2 for now

Metz: 3.88%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Metz
French Ligue 2
23.10.26	Dunkerque - Metz	1:1 ✺
17.10.26	Metz - Sochaux	3:2 ✺
12.10.26	Dijon - Metz	4:2 ✺
19.09.26	Metz - Saint-Étienne	2:2 ✺
14.09.26	Red Star - Metz	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TWLTL
- Pau FC
French Ligue 2
23.10.26	Pau - Grenoble	2:1 ✺
16.10.26	Guingamp - Pau	1:2 ✺
09.10.26	Pau - Laval	3:2 ✺
Club Friendly
03.10.26	Toulouse - Pau	2:3
French Ligue 2
18.09.26	Pau - Dunkerque	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
26.04.25	Pau - Metz	2:1
04.01.25	Metz - Pau	0:0
08.04.23	Pau - Metz	1:1
01.10.22	Metz - Pau	1:0

Metz - Pau