Match Info

Premier League - Losers stage - Round 1

Date: 13 April 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


World	FIFA+


	Bourj		Shabab Al Sahel

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.3	1.95
	3.35	3.4	1.97	Watch
	3.37	3.41	2.01
	3.34	3.34	2
	3.35	3.4	1.97
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.33 ↓ (3.35)	3.37 ↓ (3.4)	1.98 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bourj
27.2%

Draw
26.9%

Shabab Al Sahel
45.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.2%

26.9%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2%

25.9%

47.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Bourj have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Shabab Al Sahel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bourj than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shabab Al Sahel than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Mehanna H. ⚽,
25', 2 - 0, Mannah A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Bourj won 1.

Bourj is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Shabab Al Sahel is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bourj could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Shabab Al Sahel have a series of home games.

Shabab Al Sahel will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Bourj won 2 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8:9 (average 1:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Bourj won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bourj FC
Lebanese Premier League
29.03.25	Bourj - Nejmeh	1:0 ✺
15.03.25	Bourj - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:1 ✺
08.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	Al-Abbassieh - Bourj	2:0 ✺
26.02.25	Racing Beirut - Bourj	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WTLLL
- Shabab Al Sahel FC
Lebanese Premier League
30.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Al-Ahed	1:8 ✺
15.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Nejmeh	0:2 ✺
08.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	3:0 ✺
03.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Shabab Al-Ghazieh	1:0 ✺
25.02.25	Al-Abbassieh - Shabab Al Sahel	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LLWWT

Latest Head to Head

Lebanese Premier League
08.03.25	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	3:0
27.10.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:2
11.03.23	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	1:2
06.01.23	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:1
11.12.22	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	0:0
29.04.22	Shabab Al Sahel - Bourj	1:1
15.03.22	Bourj - Shabab Al Sahel	2:0

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