The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Bournemouth U21 33.5%
Draw 23%
Derby County U21 43.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
29.3%
24.4%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
27.5%
26%
49.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bournemouth U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth U21 than the current prediction. (-6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bournemouth U21 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Derby County U21 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
20%
60%
20%
Bournemouth U21 - Derby County U21 Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Bournemouth U21 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Derby U21 will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Wheeldon L. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 0 - 2, Wheeldon L. ⚽, Perry J. (A),
56', Dacosta Gonzalez M. 🟨,
88', 0 - 3, Green I. (Pen),
Preview
Bournemouth U21 is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Derby U21 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Derby U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Derby U21 will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Bournemouth U21 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:6 (average 1.7:2).
Including matches at home between the teams Bournemouth U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1