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Current Win Probability
Derby County U21 37.5%
Draw 21.7%
Brentford U21 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.4%
22.2%
28.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.8%
23.3%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County U21 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County U21's form might have worsened.
Brentford U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Brentford U21's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County U21 than the current prediction. (+14.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County U21, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brentford U21 than the current prediction. (-13.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Brentford U21, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Derby County U21 - Brentford U21 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 2)
4', 0 - 1, Brierley E. ⚽, Owen R. (A),
43', 0 - 2, Brierley E. ⚽, Yogane T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
75', 0 - 3, Brierley E. (Pen),
85', 1 - 3, Eames O. ⚽,
87', 1 - 4, ⚽,
Preview
Recent matches Derby U21 is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Brentford U21 is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
Brentford U21 could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Brentford U21 have a series of home games.
Derby U21 will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 1 head-to-head matches Derby U21 won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
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