Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 25 September 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja)

Referee: Villa Zapata J. A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play, Win Sports
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Boyacá Chicó		Deportivo Pasto

	1	X	2
	2.9	2.9	2.63	Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.70
	2.85	2.85	2.62	Watch
	2.96	2.99	2.77
	2.89	2.95	2.64	Watch
	2.6	3	2.9
	2.98	2.98	2.7	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.81 ↑ (2.63)	2.95 ↓ (3.1)	2.7 ↓ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
33.4%

Draw
31.8%

Deportivo Pasto
34.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.9%

30.4%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

30.8%

34.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/E Goals, 1st Half - even (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agudelo D. (G) 15. Navarro S. 5. Alomia J. 4. Mena J. (C) 14. Blanco Betancur C. 8. Salazar S. 6. Diaz J. 21. Pimentel J. 17. Sarria E. 22. Maya A. 16. Mera S.	12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 21. Osede D. 2. Torijano F. (C) 3. Rios J. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 25. Leys F. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 27. Goyes H. 10. Chavez D. 29. Cordoba S.
Substitutes
10. Cabrera Y. 29. Carabali L. 7. Cifuentes F. 23. Penaloza J. 19. Pimentel Betancourt J. 2. Polanco D. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 20. Viveros S. 12. Zapata B. (G)	5. Gil N. 23. Goez Y. 42. Gomez E. 15. Mancilla H. 7. Perlaza J. 32. Pisano M. 22. Tolosa Y. 26. Valencia H. 13. Valverde L. (G)
Coaches
Gomez J.	Rosero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)
55', Osede D. ↓, Perlaza J. ↑,
59', Pimentel J. ↓, Cabrera Y. ↑,
68', 1 - 0, Cabrera Y. ⚽, Mera S. (A),
70', 2 - 0, Sarria E. ⚽,
72', Chavez D. ↓, Goez Y. ↑,
72', Leys F. ↓, Pisano M. ↑,
73', Sarria E. 🟨,
76', Sarria E. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
84', Micolta Piedahita J. ↓, Tolosa Y. ↑,
84', Cordoba S. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Maya A. ⚽, Diaz J. (A),
90', Maya A. ↓, Cifuentes F. ↑,
90', Mera S. ↓, Pimentel Betancourt J. ↑,

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 17th and 15th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 0.

The recent form of both competitors has been marked by mixed results.

Boyacá Chicó may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Boyacá Chicó has recorded 3 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, with a goal aggregate of 13:27 (averaging 0.7:1.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boyacá Chicó against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 6 draws, and 1 loss, with 6:6 goals (averaging 0.7:0.7 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
17	Chico	14	3	3	8	11:25	-14	12
20	Dep. Pasto	13	2	3	8	9:19	-10	9

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Chico: 0.62% Dep. Pasto: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Boyacá Chicó - the odds 2.63 are the expected chance of winning is 35.87%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
19.09.26	Millonarios - Boyacá Chicó	3:0 ✺
15.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Alianza Valledupar	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Independiente Medellín	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Once Caldas	2:0 ✺
30.08.26	Rionegro Águilas - Boyacá Chicó	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 LLWWT
- Deportivo Pasto
Colombian Primera A
19.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Once Caldas	1:0 ✺
14.09.26	América de Cali - Deportivo Pasto	0:1 ✺
Colombian Copa
09.09.26	Deportivo Pasto - Independiente Medellín	1:4 ✺
Colombian Primera A
05.09.26	Cúcuta Deportivo - Deportivo Pasto	2:2 ✺
31.08.26	Deportivo Pasto - Deportivo Pereira	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23 WWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
18.03.26	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
05.09.25	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:0
26.07.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	2:2
22.03.25	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	0:0
12.02.25	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	3:0
22.09.24	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	1:0
09.03.24	Deportivo Pasto - Boyacá Chicó	2:1

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