The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Deportes Tolima 67.2%
Draw 21.4%
Deportivo Pasto 11.4%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
68.1%
20.9%
11.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.9%
20.5%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Tolima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
Deportivo Pasto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Tolima than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Pasto than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
75%
0%
25%
Deportes Tolima - Deportivo Pasto Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Deportes Tolima will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Deportivo Pasto will win (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Neto Volpi (G) 33. Mosquera J. 71. Osorio Y. 5. Mera J. 20. Hernandez J. 80. Rovira B. (C) 14. Martinez Yepez H. E. 8. Valencia E. 9. Sandoval L. 28. Lopez E. 24. Parra Osorio A.
12. Banguera G. (G) 33. Garavito M. 2. Torijano F. (C) 5. Gil N. 3. Rios J. 8. Serje Orozco E. C. 15. Mancilla H. 25. Leys F. 16. Gil M. 10. Chavez D. 7. Perlaza J.
Substitutes
3. Angulo J. 30. Barbosa Gomez S. P. 18. Florez K. 7. Hurtado J. 13. Ortega M. (G) 10. Sanchez L. 11. Valencia J.
29. Cordoba S. 6. Jimenez M. S. 17. Mendez J. 18. Micolta Piedahita J. 32. Pisano M. 19. Preciado P. 36. Quinones J. 24. Santacruz K. 13. Valverde L. (G)
Coaches
Suarez L.
Merino D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
31', Hernandez J. 🟨,
31', Sandoval L. 🟨,
33', 0 - 1, Serje Orozco E. C. ⚽, Torijano F. (A),
43', Martinez Yepez H. E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Chavez D. ↓, Micolta Piedahita J. ↑,
51', Mera J. 🟨,
56', Martinez Yepez H. E. ↓, Hurtado J. ↑,
56', Valencia E. ↓, Sanchez L. ↑,
68', Gil M. ↓, Preciado P. ↑,
68', Lopez E. ↓, Barbosa Gomez S. P. ↑,
74', Perlaza J. ↓, Mendez J. ↑,
74', Sanchez L. 🟨,
75', Garavito M. 🟨,
75', Gil N. 🟨,
79', Parra Osorio A. ↓, Florez K. ↑,
79', Hernandez J. ↓, Valencia J. ↑,
80', Garavito M. ↓, Jimenez M. S. ↑,
86', Mancilla H. 🟨,
90+1', Micolta Piedahita J. 🟨,
Preview
A clash between a stable mid-table side and a team seeking crucial survival points (ranked 10th and 20th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Deportes Tolima won 3.
Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.
Deportes Tolima could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Deportes Tolima has faced a series of away games on the road.
In this match, Deportes Tolima enters as the overwhelming favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima has recorded 12 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 29:16 (averaging 1.5:0.8 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Deportes Tolima against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 13:6 goals (averaging 1.3:0.6 per game).