Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 16

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio La Independencia (Tunja) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Belarus	02:00	Sport TV
Colombia	18:00	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Usa	19:00	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Boyacá Chicó		Atlético Bucaramanga

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	2	Watch
	3.25	3.10	2.10
	3.95	3.15	1.98	Watch
	3.98	3.19	2.11
	3.71	3.31	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.25	2.18
	4.13	3.3	2.01	Watch
	3.7	3.2	2.02
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↓ (3.75)	3.21 ↑ (3.2)	2.05 ↓ (2.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boyacá Chicó
25.1%

Draw
29.2%

Atlético Bucaramanga
45.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25%

29.4%

45.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.4%

28.6%

47%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boyacá Chicó has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Atlético Bucaramanga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boyacá Chicó than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Bucaramanga than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	42.9%	57.1%

Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Bucaramanga Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bucaramanga will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bucaramanga (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Agudelo D. (G) 15. Navarro S. 2. Polanco D. 4. Mena J. (C) 14. Blanco Betancur C. 17. Sarria E. 6. Diaz J. 28. Cardenas 16. Mera S. 21. Pimentel J. 22. Maya A.	12. Novoa D. (G) 6. Castrillon N. 24. Ortiz J. 4. Garcia J. 19. Gutierrez A. 21. Charrupi F. 22. Fabry 8. Hinestroza F. 17. Batalla E. 27. Pons L. 10. Sambueza F. (C)
Substitutes
9. Camargo I. 29. Carabali L. 24. Mosquera C. 18. Palacios J. C. 19. Pimentel Betancourt J. 11. Ramirez Raigosa D. A. 8. Salazar S. 20. Viveros S. 12. Zapata B. (G)	80. Albornoz O. 9. Caicedo B. 28. Flores L. 7. Londono K. 16. Matheus L. (G) 5. Murrilo A. 3. Rea M. 11. Salazar J. 20. Zarate A.
Coaches
Gomez J.	Peirano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Hinestroza F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Gutierrez A. ↓, Salazar J. ↑,
59', Hinestroza F. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
59', Fabry ↓, Flores L. ↑,
59', Novoa D. ↓, Matheus L. ↑,
61', Cardenas 🟨,
64', 1 - 0, Maya A. ⚽, Sarria E. (A),
70', Maya A. ↓, Camargo I. ↑,
75', Sarria E. ↓, Ramirez Raigosa D. A. ↑,
75', Pimentel J. ↓, Viveros S. ↑,
84', Cardenas ↓, Salazar S. ↑,
84', Diaz J. 🟨,
88', Castrillon N. ↓, Caicedo B. ↑,
90+1', Camargo I. 🟨,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 17th and 5th in the Promotion - Primera A (Clausura - Quadrangular: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boyacá Chicó won 1.

Boyacá Chicó is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Bucaramanga is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Bucaramanga could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Bucaramanga has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.

Bucaramanga is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Boyacá Chicó has recorded 4 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 12:22 (averaging 0.9:1.6 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Boyacá Chicó against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:3 goals (averaging 1:0.5 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Bucaramanga	15	6	7	2	23:15	8	25
17	Chico	16	4	4	8	13:26	-13	16

Outrights of Colombian Primera A for now

Bucaramanga: 3.48% Chico: 0.62%

Last Results with these Odds

Atlético Bucaramanga - the odds 2.06 are the expected chance of winning is 45.6%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boyacá Chicó
Colombian Primera A
20.10.26	Deportivo Pereira - Boyacá Chicó	2:0 ✺
17.10.26	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Nacional	1:4 ✺
11.10.26	Boyacá Chicó - Cúcuta Deportivo	0:1 ✺
03.10.26	Deportes Tolima - Boyacá Chicó	0:0 ✺
25.09.26	Boyacá Chicó - Deportivo Pasto	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLLTW
- Atlético Bucaramanga
Colombian Primera A
18.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - América de Cali	1:1 ✺
13.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Rionegro Águilas	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Junior Barranquilla	3:1 ✺
25.09.26	Once Caldas - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:3 ✺
20.09.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Inter Bogotá	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.8 TTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
12.04.26	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	5:0
12.07.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	1:1
Colombian Copa
10.06.25	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	3:2
Colombian Primera A
24.01.25	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:0
06.11.24	Boyacá Chicó - Atlético Bucaramanga	1:1
19.04.24	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	2:3
16.10.23	Atlético Bucaramanga - Boyacá Chicó	1:0

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