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Current Win Probability
Bra 46.7%
Draw 25.5%
Ternana 27.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
22.1%
26.5%
51.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.4%
25.6%
53.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bra's performance.
Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-23.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ternana might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bra than the current prediction. (-25.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+25.4%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ternana could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
66.7%
0%
33.3%
Bra - Ternana Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Bra will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Renzetti D. (G) 17. Fiordaliso A. 31. De Santis E. 6. Sganzerla R. 29. Maressa T. 47. La Marca M. 14. Lionetti G. 77. Brambilla A. 20. Milani L. 76. Capac A. 11. Sinani I.
12. Morlupo A. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 13. Maestrelli A. 3. Pagliari M. 30. Orellana M. 16. Garetto M. 5. Tripi F. 22. Aramu M. 27. Ferrante A. 32. Pettinari S.
Substitutes
9. Akammadu F. 16. Armstrong D. 92. Baldini E. 27. Campedelli R. 25. Corsi L. 1. Franzini D. (G) 2. Lia D. 12. Menicucci D. (G) 72. Miculi M. 5. Pretato M. 36. Rabuffi M. 3. Rottensteiner B. 8. Tuzza S.
38. Bruti T. 17. Kerrigan L. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 43. Ndrecka A. 18. Panico G. 1. Vitali T. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
9', Garetto M. 🟨,
40', 0 - 1, Pettinari S. ⚽,
45+3', 1 - 1, Sinani I. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
65', Capuano M. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
65', Ferrante A. ↓, Panico G. ↑,
65', Capac A. ↓, Campedelli R. ↑,
65', Brambilla A. ↓, Tuzza S. ↑,
72', Maestrelli A. 🟨,
79', Maressa T. ↓, Akammadu F. ↑,
79', Pettinari S. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
90', De Santis E. 🟨,
90+1', 1 - 2, Aramu M. ⚽,
90+1', Aramu M. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).
Bra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Ternana has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Bra will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Bra won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
Last Results with these Odds
Ternana - the odds 1.78 are the expected chance of winning is 51.42%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.