Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 32

Date: 14 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Tonino Benelli (Pesaro)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Vis Pesaro		Ternana

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.1	3	2.28
	3.38	2.99	2.3
	3.17	3.07	2.24	Watch
	3.2	2.75	2.2
	3.28	2.9	2.22	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.23 ↑ (3.06)	2.94 ↓ (3.08)	2.25 ↓ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Vis Pesaro
28.3%

Draw
31%

Ternana
40.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29.9%

29.7%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.8%

28.6%

41.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Vis Pesaro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vis Pesaro than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Vis Pesaro - Ternana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pozzi A. (G) 13. Primasso A. 6. Di Renzo G. 3. Zoia R. 17. Paganini L. 24. Berengo N. 7. Pucciarelli M. 77. Durmush M. 10. Di Paola M. (C) 28. Machin J. 9. Nicastro F.	71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. 2. Kurti A. 87. Martella B. 17. Kerrigan L. 23. Majer Z. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 30. Orellana M. 18. Panico G. 9. Dubickas E.
Substitutes
63. Barranco G. 27. Bastianelli R. 34. Cataudella D. 80. Chudy W. 25. Fraternale A. 22. Fratti D. (G) 16. Guarnone A. (G) 97. Lari N. 55. Mariani E. 53. Martinelli E. 18. Pisano M. G. 5. Tonucci D. 99. Ventre A.	22. Aramu M. 19. Capuano M. 36. Delibra L. (G) 27. Ferrante A. 10. Leonardi S. 42. Lodovici R. 8. McJannet E. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 3. Pagliari M. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
4', 1 - 0, Di Paola M. ⚽,
28', Primasso A. ↓, Tonucci D. ↑,
29', Dubickas E. 🟥,
30', Tonucci D. 🟨,
44', Paganini L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', D'Alterio F. 🟨,
61', Panico G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
63', Paganini L. ↓, Ventre A. ↑,
63', Tonucci D. ↓, Barranco G. ↑,
74', Machin J. ↓, Mariani E. ↑,
74', Di Paola M. ↓, Pisano M. G. ↑,
75', Ndrecka A. ↓, Pagliari M. ↑,
75', Orellana M. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
76', Ventre A. 🟨,
83', Kerrigan L. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
83', Majer Z. ↓, McJannet E. ↑,
90+4', Pucciarelli M. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Ternana could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Vis Pesaro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Vis Pesaro won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
20	Vis Pesaro	9	1	1	7	10:20	-10	4

Last Results with these Odds

Vis Pesaro - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 29.87%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Ternana - the odds 2.26 are the expected chance of winning is 40.45%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SSD Vis Pesaro 1898
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Juventus U23 - Vis Pesaro	1:3 ✺
04.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Bra	2:1 ✺
01.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Pontedera	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Sassari Torres - Vis Pesaro	0:0 ✺
16.02.26	Vis Pesaro - Campobasso	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWTTL
- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
08.03.26	Ternana - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ternana - Campobasso	2:4 ✺
23.02.26	Ternana - Forlì	2:1 ✺
16.02.26	Pineto - Ternana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
09.11.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	1:1
26.01.25	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	2:1
20.09.24	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	0:2
26.01.19	Ternana - Vis Pesaro	0:2
30.09.18	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	0:0

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