Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 33

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	20:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ternana		Sambenedettese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.66	3.3	4.6
	1.68	3.45	4.95	Watch
	1.65	3.48	5.38
	1.65	3.44	5.26	Watch
	1.65	3.1	5
	1.6	3.46	5.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	3.37 ↓ (3.69)	5.09 ↑ (4.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
55.2%

Draw
27%

Sambenedettese
17.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25%

19.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.8%

23.8%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Sambenedettese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sambenedettese than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Ternana - Sambenedettese Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Sambenedettese will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 87. Martella B. 19. Capuano M. (C) 20. Donati F. 17. Kerrigan L. 8. McJannet E. 23. Majer Z. 4. Vallocchia A. 43. Ndrecka A. 18. Panico G. 27. Ferrante A.	22. Cultraro G. (G) 4. Zini A. 98. Lepri T. 21. Dalmazzi A. 80. Piccoli M. 18. Candellori K. 97. Maspero A. 7. Marranzino P. 27. Stoppa M. 11. Parigini V. 9. Eusepi U. (C)
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 38. Bruti T. 2. Kurti A. 10. Leonardi S. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 30. Orellana M. 3. Pagliari M. 32. Pettinari S. 80. Proietti M. 5. Tripi F. 1. Vitali T. (G)	24. Alfieri V. 8. Bongelli R. 5. Chelli M. 32. Chiatante F. 30. Gigante G. 47. Konate A. 82. Lonardo E. 6. Lulli L. 70. Martins K. 1. Orsini T. (G) 17. Pezzola L. 34. Ponzanetti M. (G) 37. Toure M. 15. Zoboletti A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
21', Kerrigan L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Marranzino P. ↓, Bongelli R. ↑,
58', Dalmazzi A. 🟨,
60', 1 - 0, Panico G. ⚽,
65', Maspero A. ↓, Toure M. ↑,
69', Panico G. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
78', Majer Z. ↓, Tripi F. ↑,
79', Parigini V. ↓, Martins K. ↑,
86', Capuano M. ↓, Kurti A. ↑,
86', Kerrigan L. ↓, Meccariello B. ↑,
86', Ferrante A. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
88', 1 - 1, Zini A. ⚽,
89', Stoppa M. ↓, Pezzola L. ↑,
90+4', Donati F. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

In recent matches, Ternana has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Sambenedettese is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
16	Sambenedettese	11	2	4	5	16:18	-2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Vis Pesaro - Ternana	1:0 ✺
08.03.26	Ternana - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Arezzo - Ternana	1:2 ✺
01.03.26	Ternana - Campobasso	2:4 ✺
23.02.26	Ternana - Forlì	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWLW
- Sambenedettese Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
14.03.26	Sambenedettese - Campobasso	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Sambenedettese	0:1 ✺
04.03.26	Sambenedettese - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Sambenedettese - Livorno	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Ravenna - Sambenedettese	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
15.11.25	Sambenedettese - Ternana	0:0
06.03.19	Ternana - Sambenedettese	0:0
23.02.19	Sambenedettese - Ternana	2:0

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