Match Info

National League - Round 4

Date: 23 August 2025, Saturday

Location: St James Park (Brackley)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Brackley Town		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.6	3.3
	3	3.3	2.05
	1.98	3.6	3.35
	2	3.36	3.93
	2.11	3.46	3.21	Watch
	3.3	3.3	2.05
	1.97	3.72	3.41
	3.55	3.85	1.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.48 ↓ (3.5)	3.52 ↓ (3.75)	2.9 ↑ (1.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Brackley Town
39.1%

Draw
27.5%

Rochdale
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

24.3%

49.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.2%

23.5%

51.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Brackley Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Brackley Town's performance.

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rochdale might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brackley Town than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Brackley Town that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+17.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rochdale could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	0%	60%

Brackley Town - Rochdale Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Brackley will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Rochdale will win (votes: 3 - 60%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Rochdale (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Brackley (2.04) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Brackley (votes: 3 - 75%). Rochdale (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Gregory C. (G) 8. Brown Z. 6. Dean G. 27. Hall C. 37. Haynes R. 19. Lilly Z. 11. Lowe M. 2. Lyttle T. 5. Morrison K. 4. Price J. 10. Roberts M.	20. Myles T. (G) 7. Allarakhia T. 12. Amantchi L. 19. Burger J. 25. Griffiths J. 40. Henderson I. 5. Hogan L. (C) 21. McBride C. 22. Moss D. 16. Pettit C. 3. Tutonda D.
Substitutes
3. Calder R. 17. Donawa J. 15. Hobson B. 1. Maxted J. (G) 7. Pollock S. 14. Waldron D.	14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 18. Barlow A. 33. Beckwith S. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 8. Gilmour H. 2. Gordon K. 11. Mancini A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Haynes R. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tutonda D. ↓, Beckwith S. ↑,
46', Henderson I. ↓, Mancini A. ↑,
52', 1 - 1, McBride C. ⚽, Mancini A. (A),
55', Price J. 🟨,
55', Dean G. 🟨,
59', Myles T. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Hall C. ⚽,
64', McBride C. ↓, Gilmour H. ↑,
65', Amantchi L. ↓, Dieseruvwe E. ↑,
65', Griffiths J. ↓, Adebayo-Rowling T. ↑,
68', Dieseruvwe E. 🟨,
68', Hall C. ↓, Pollock S. ↑,
68', Price J. ↓, Hobson B. ↑,
71', Mancini A. 🟨,
80', Lowe M. ↓, Waldron D. ↑,
90+3', Adebayo-Rowling T. 🟨,
90+4', Brown Z. 🟨,

Preview

Brackley has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Rochdale is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Brackley may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rochdale will hold a modest advantage in this match.

Recently, there has been no match between the teams.

Last Results with these Odds

Rochdale - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 49.73%, but this team recently wins 88% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Brackley Town
English National League
20.08.25	Yeovil Town - Brackley Town	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
12.08.25	Brackley Town - Blackburn Rovers U21	2:0 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Brackley Town - Eastleigh	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
29.07.25	Stourbridge - Brackley Town	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Halesowen Town - Brackley Town	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 LWWLW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
20.08.25	Rochdale - Gateshead	4:0 ✺
16.08.25	Rochdale - Altrincham	2:1 ✺
English National League Cup
13.08.25	Rochdale - Burnley U21	2:1 ✺
English National League
09.08.25	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
26.07.25	Barrow - Rochdale	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWL

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