Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Final

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Wembley Stadium (London)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Boreham Wood		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.6	2.1
	2.4	3.4	2.45
	3.15	3.55	2.08	Watch
	3.26	3.65	2.13
	2.97	3.49	2.2	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.1
	3.23	3.56	2.07	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.03 ↓ (3.28)	3.52 ↑ (3.45)	2.16 ↑ (2.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Boreham Wood
30.7%

Draw
26.4%

Rochdale
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.1%

26.8%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8%

26.5%

45.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Boreham Wood has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boreham Wood than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Boreham Wood - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Curd T. (G) 15. Clarke J. 6. O'Connell C. 5. Bush Ch. 3. Ilesanmi F. 19. White T. (C) 23. Booty R. 11. Ayinde L. 8. Brunt Z. 10. Abdulmalik A. 32. Rush M.	1. Whatmuff O. (G) 2. Gordon K. 6. Ebanks-Landell E. (C) 25. Perry C. 14. Adebayo-Rowling T. 8. Gilmour H. 4. East R. 18. Barlow A. 10. Rodney D. 9. Dieseruvwe E. 12. Hannant L.
Substitutes
1. Ashmore N. (G) 2. Coxe C. 14. Henry A. 26. Landers J. 16. Reynolds C. 20. Richardson L. 7. Sousa E.	35. Baptiste A. 33. Beckwith S. 36. Francis E. 40. Henderson I. 16. Pettit C. 17. Pritchard J. 38. Smith T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Rush M. ⚽, Abdulmalik A. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Barlow A. ↓, Pritchard J. ↑,
57', Bush Ch. 🟨,
69', 2 - 0, Abdulmalik A. ⚽,
70', Booty R. ↓, Reynolds C. ↑,
75', Rodney D. ↓, Smith T. ↑,
75', Hannant L. ↓, Henderson I. ↑,
76', Adebayo-Rowling T. ↓, Beckwith S. ↑,
78', 2 - 1, Smith T. ⚽,
82', Abdulmalik A. ↓, Richardson L. ↑,
82', Ayinde L. ↓, Coxe C. ↑,
86', East R. ↓, Pettit C. ↑,
90', Gilmour H. ↓, Francis E. ↑,
90+1', Brunt Z. ↓, Landers J. ↑,
90+7', 2 - 2, Dieseruvwe E. ⚽, Pettit C. (A),
Extra Time (0 - 0)
103', White T. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
105', Ilesanmi F. ↓, Sousa E. ↑,
120+1', Pritchard J. 🟨,
Penalties (1 - 3)
1, Reynolds C. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Beckwith S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sousa E. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Francis E. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Rush M. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Perry C. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Coxe C. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Neutral location - Wembley Stadium.

Boreham Wood is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Rochdale is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Rochdale may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Rochdale will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Boreham Wood won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.5:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Boreham Wood won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).

Outrights of English National League for now

Boreham Wood: 61.85%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Boreham Wood	12	10	2	0	32:13	19	32

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Boreham Wood
English National League
03.05.26	Carlisle United - Boreham Wood	1:2 ET ✺
29.04.26	Boreham Wood - Forest Green Rovers	1:0 ET ✺
25.04.26	Boreham Wood - Sutton United	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Morecambe - Boreham Wood	0:3 ✺
11.04.26	Boreham Wood - Hartlepool United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWWWW
- Rochdale AFC
English National League
03.05.26	Rochdale - Scunthorpe United	2:1 ✺
25.04.26	Rochdale - York City	1:1 ✺
18.04.26	Braintree Town - Rochdale	1:2 ✺
11.04.26	Rochdale - Wealdstone	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Hartlepool United - Rochdale	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

English National League
03.02.26	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	4:1
09.08.25	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	0:2
16.04.24	Rochdale - Boreham Wood	0:0
19.09.23	Boreham Wood - Rochdale	1:1

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