Match Info

Date: 5 October 2021, Tuesday


	Port Vale		Rochdale

	1	X	2
	2.1	3.2	3
	2.1	3.15	3.25
	2.1	3.15	3.3
	2.16	3.3	3.37
	2.1	3.1	3.4
	2.11	3.3	3.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.11 ↓ (2.23)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	3.27 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Port Vale
43.4%

Draw
28.6%

Rochdale
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.5%

26.4%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.2%

19.5%

23.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Port Vale has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

Rochdale has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Port Vale than the current prediction. (+12.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Port Vale, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rochdale than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

Port Vale - Rochdale Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Port Vale is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rochdale is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Port Vale could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Port Vale will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 11 head-to-head matches Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Port Vale won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-7.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Port Vale
English League Two
02.10.21	Port Vale - Leyton Orient	3:2 ✺
25.09.21	Scunthorpe United - Port Vale	0:1 ✺
18.09.21	Port Vale - Harrogate Town	2:0 ✺
11.09.21	Swindon Town - Port Vale	1:2 ✺
04.09.21	Port Vale - Rochdale	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 WWWWL
- Rochdale AFC
English League Two
02.10.21	Bradford City - Rochdale	2:0 ✺
25.09.21	Rochdale - Oldham Athletic	0:1 ✺
English League Cup
21.09.21	Burnley - Rochdale	4:1 ✺
English League Two
18.09.21	Mansfield Town - Rochdale	1:1 ✺
11.09.21	Rochdale - Tranmere Rovers	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English League Two
04.09.21	Port Vale - Rochdale	2:3
English League One
04.04.17	Rochdale - Port Vale	3:0
16.08.16	Port Vale - Rochdale	1:0
23.04.16	Port Vale - Rochdale	4:1
28.11.15	Rochdale - Port Vale	2:1
06.04.15	Rochdale - Port Vale	1:0
15.11.14	Port Vale - Rochdale	1:0

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