Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL PREMIER DIVISION - ROUND 29

Date: 27 January 2024, Saturday


	Bradford Park Avenue		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.5	1.78
	3.75	3.5	1.83
	3.79	3.85	1.8
	3.4	3.5	1.83
	3.9	3.68	1.76
	3.75	3.5	1.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.7 ↓ (3.84)	3.59 ↑ (3.4)	1.81 ↓ (1.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bradford Park Avenue
24.5%

Draw
25.3%

Lancaster City
50.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.6%

26.6%

49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.6%

24.5%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bradford Park Avenue has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bradford Park Avenue than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

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Preview

Bradford PA has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Lancaster is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Bradford PA could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Lancaster is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Bradford PA won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bradford Park Avenue
English NPL Premier Division
20.01.24	Hyde United - Bradford Park Avenue	5:0 ✺
15.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Marine	1:3 ✺
13.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - United of Manchester	2:4 ✺
06.01.24	Morpeth Town - Bradford Park Avenue	2:1 ✺
01.01.24	Bradford Park Avenue - Guiseley	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
13.01.24	Lancaster City - Hyde United	0:4 ✺
09.01.24	Lancaster City - Radcliffe	1:2 ✺
06.01.24	Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City	1:2 ✺
01.01.24	Lancaster City - Atherton Collieries	3:2 ✺
26.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
25.11.23	Lancaster City - Bradford Park Avenue	2:2

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