Match Info

NPL Premier Division - Round 39

Date: 6 April 2026, Monday


	Bamber Bridge		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.1	2.65
	2.35	3.2	2.68
	2.33	3.32	2.67
	2.38	3.56	2.72	Watch
	2.3	3	2.63
	2.32	3.25	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.48)	3.24 ↓ (3.51)	2.67 ↑ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bamber Bridge
38.5%

Draw
27.8%

Lancaster City
33.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

26.1%

36.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.3%

25.7%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bamber Bridge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

Lancaster City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bamber Bridge than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (+3.8%)

Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 0 - 1, Evangelinos N. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Knight-Percival N. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 9 and 7)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 3.

Bamber is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Lancaster has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Lancaster may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Bamber won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 31:19. (average 2.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Bamber won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 2.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Lancaster	12	5	1	6	16:24	-8	16
20	Bamber Bridge	11	2	3	6	16:31	-15	9

Last Results with these Odds

Bamber Bridge - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Lancaster City - the odds 2.48 are the expected chance of winning is 36.93%, but this team recently wins 30% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bamber Bridge
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Leek Town - Bamber Bridge	3:2 ✺
28.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Cleethorpes Town	0:2 ✺
24.03.26	Gainsborough Trinity - Bamber Bridge	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Bamber Bridge - Morpeth Town	0:2 ✺
14.03.26	United of Manchester - Bamber Bridge	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
03.04.26	Lancaster City - Morpeth Town	3:0 ✺
28.03.26	Hebburn Town - Lancaster City	4:1 ✺
21.03.26	Lancaster City - Cleethorpes Town	0:0 ✺
14.03.26	Whitby Town - Lancaster City	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	Lancaster City - Warrington Town	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
26.12.25	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:3
21.04.25	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:4
26.12.24	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:3
01.04.24	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	3:2
26.12.23	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1
10.04.23	Bamber Bridge - Lancaster City	2:1
26.12.22	Lancaster City - Bamber Bridge	1:1

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