Match Info

ENGLAND: NPL Premier Division - Round 16

Date: 2 November 2024, Saturday


	Macclesfield Town		Lancaster City

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	5.75
	1.46	4.2	5.6
	1.41	5.08	5.9
	1.42	4.99	6.25
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.36	4.6	6.84
	1.46	4.2	5.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.43 ↑ (1.37)	4.4 ↑ (4.33)	6.06 ↓ (7.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Macclesfield Town
64.1%

Draw
20.8%

Lancaster City
15.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.4%

21%

12.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.1%

20.2%

12.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Macclesfield Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Lancaster City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Macclesfield Town than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lancaster City than the current prediction. (-3%)

Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Thompson D. ⚽,
18', 1 - 1, Elliott D. (Pen),
42', 2 - 1, Johnson J. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
48', 3 - 1, Elliott D. ⚽,
58', 4 - 1, Edmondson J. ⚽,
81', 5 - 1, Whitehead D. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a battle-game between leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ National League North and 9).

Macclesfield is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lancaster is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lancaster could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Macclesfield is absolute favorite.

Our prediction for today's Macclesfield to win the game is with odds 1.37.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Macclesfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:5 (average 0.5:2.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Macclesfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Macclesfield Town
English NPL Premier Division
29.10.24	Matlock Town - Macclesfield Town	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
26.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Ashton United	7:1 ✺
English NPL Premier Division
19.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Warrington Rylands	1:0 ✺
15.10.24	Macclesfield Town - Hebburn Town	4:1 ✺
English FA Cup
12.10.24	Tamworth - Macclesfield Town	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WWWWL
- Lancaster City
English NPL Premier Division
26.10.24	Lancaster City - Hyde United	2:2 ✺
19.10.24	Lancaster City - Ashton United	2:2 ✺
15.10.24	Lancaster City - Guiseley	1:1 ✺
12.10.24	United of Manchester - Lancaster City	2:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
05.10.24	Clitheroe - Lancaster City	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English NPL Premier Division
06.01.24	Macclesfield Town - Lancaster City	1:2
22.08.23	Lancaster City - Macclesfield Town	3:0

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